NHL · resolved market
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ce556c29f486aebc2153588164e62fe3038d5a2c3f8d7e43d39ef158c6f67c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Ak Bars Kazan, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x196b…4151backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 1c | 1,489$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 3cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 49c | 1,211$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 18c | 1,199$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ak Bars Kazan | 66c | 526.28$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.12 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…d468backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 305.25$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Ak Bars Kazan | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 7c | 270$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Ak Bars Kazan | 76c | 263$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 6c | 255.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 46c | 239.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 194.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 45c | 194$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…7352backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f7…e966backed Ak Bars Kazan | 35c | 144.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 56c | 138.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…64c8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 111.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 44c | 99.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…5b1abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 58c | 90.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 65c | 81.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 75.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596f…248abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 46c | 68.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Ak Bars Kazan | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 44c | 50.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…1ca7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Ak Bars Kazan | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ak Bars Kazan | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 18.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 242 | 59.1%143 W · 99 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.