MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f00b2ad481462c69c85566063308308080e6ef34b097dd18bbe8f87ec7d2d8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 36c | 6,013$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rangers | 68c | 4,351$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.35 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 31c | 4,350$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.5 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Phillies | 61c | 3,095$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.08 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Phillies | 69c | 2,985$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.69 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Phillies | 33c | 2,205$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.48 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Phillies | 60c | 2,167$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.67 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rangers | 40c | 2,150$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.2 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Phillies | 46c | 2,009$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.33 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rangers | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Rangers | 66c | 1,811$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rangers | 37c | 1,760$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.56 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies | 59c | 1,739$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.15 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Rangers | 41c | 1,718$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.46 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rangers | 60c | 1,715$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Phillies | 61c | 1,475$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.41 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,349$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.55 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Rangers | 41c | 1,325$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.24 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 59c | 1,305$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.37 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Rangers | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Phillies | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Rangers | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rangers | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rangers | 40c | 930$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Rangers | 40c | 921$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.4 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rangers | 28c | 709.12$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rangers | 49c | 699.96$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.72 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Phillies | 53c | 620.92$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.48 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Phillies | 72c | 620.91$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.91 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Rangers | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rangers | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Phillies | 37c | 585.33$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rangers | 67c | 559.7$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Phillies | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 60c | 496$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers | 42c | 476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 45c | 443.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.95 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers | 43c | 418.31$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Phillies | 73c | 392.91$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rangers | 40c | 387.66$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Rangers | 43c | 381$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rangers | 41c | 370$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 39c | 369$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 29c | 348.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 59c | 338.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Phillies | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Rangers | 42c | 300.89$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 39c | 300.74$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rangers | 40c | 299.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 58c | 282.63$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.23 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Phillies | 56c | 274.41$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Phillies | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rangers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Phillies | 57c | 238.26$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Rangers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rangers | 69c | 212.08$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.33 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rangers | 41c | 198.32$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 18c | 195$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rangers | 42c | 186.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rangers | 42c | 183.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…2775backed Phillies | 59c | 168.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…ad5ebacked Rangers | 23c | 164.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rangers | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rangers | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Phillies | 58c | 133$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Phillies | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rangers | 17c | 121$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Phillies | 61c | 119$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Phillies | 59c | 113.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Rangers | 40c | 111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Rangers | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…ac12backed Rangers | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…e0cfbacked Phillies | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0a87backed Phillies | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…f991backed Rangers | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…a11ebacked Phillies | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1aa…2c89backed Rangers | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…1831backed Phillies | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d3…fb7dbacked Rangers | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…7e3abacked Phillies | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…215dbacked Rangers | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Rangers | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Phillies | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Phillies | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Rangers | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 60c | 78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4f…d43abacked Phillies | 60c | 70.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…a9ffbacked Rangers | 42c | 69.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Rangers | 69c | 68.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Phillies | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Phillies | 34c | 65.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Phillies | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.