TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SPARTAof ex-RUSTEC, SPARTA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed ex-RUSTEC52c3,902$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.231,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32d2…8850backed ex-RUSTEC51c2,285$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.6140%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked SPARTA51c1,519$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.911,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed ex-RUSTEC50c1,394$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.661,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad1f…7f94backed SPARTA29c1,353$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.285133.3%17 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC48c1,275$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.235,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed SPARTA44c1,052$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.9840264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf795…5e34backed SPARTA15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8507027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed SPARTA46c999.71$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.792,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed SPARTA57c995.45$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.2517759.9%106 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed SPARTA60c898.16$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.171,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…3eb8backed ex-RUSTEC54c796.07$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4278461.9%52 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ex-RUSTEC54c712.27$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.552,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f17…6001backed SPARTA29c689.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.297152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed ex-RUSTEC77c653.2$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUSTEC53c560$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.57,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked SPARTA35c435.43$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.0325846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUSTEC34c425.58$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.142,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed ex-RUSTEC50c352$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17615948.4%77 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42db…3816backed SPARTA50c352$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1762123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-42.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUSTEC58c340.29$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.314,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed SPARTA56c335.71$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7121949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed ex-RUSTEC52c331.41$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8442154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed SPARTA60c327.8$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9520353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6a…7dccbacked SPARTA61c325.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.726550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed SPARTA53c325.33$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.991,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked SPARTA52c300$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6791945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed SPARTA50c267$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.514845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c81…5518backed ex-RUSTEC33c266$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7812049.2%59 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUSTEC45c257.45$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.65,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed SPARTA49c199.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.711,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24cc…0927backed SPARTA44c195.77$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9313254.5%72 W · 60 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC45c191.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.354,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked SPARTA51c181$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.883,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked SPARTA50c166.03$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.492,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUSTEC48c162.08$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.322,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x270e…53cabacked SPARTA66c151.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.978454.8%46 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed SPARTA47c140.46$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.754,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked SPARTA53c132.16$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4475245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed ex-RUSTEC76c120.92$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.920154.7%110 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked SPARTA50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6033340.2%134 W · 199 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked ex-RUSTEC38c116.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.591,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC42c114.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.542,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96e1…b067backed SPARTA53c113.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.92045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa8…efa7backed SPARTA49c112.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.324365.1%28 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed SPARTA40c112$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.22,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed SPARTA48c110.56$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.399354.8%51 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7374…38ffbacked SPARTA51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494351.2%22 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c0a…643abacked ex-RUSTEC42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed ex-RUSTEC52c96.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1289046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed SPARTA34c90.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.992,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked SPARTA37c85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.172,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed SPARTA47c81.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0270042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked SPARTA60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3215060.7%91 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed SPARTA52c77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9317052.4%89 W · 81 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed SPARTA51c76.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.443246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-RUSTEC53c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.451,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked SPARTA53c69.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.673,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bd8…d64cbacked ex-RUSTEC75c68.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2154…4b67backed ex-RUSTEC59c66.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.17366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked SPARTA63c63.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5239338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed SPARTA63c63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.052,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0946…d8f5backed ex-RUSTEC48c61.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed ex-RUSTEC33c61.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4913142.7%56 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked ex-RUSTEC49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028454.9%156 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked ex-RUSTEC54c56.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.347042.9%30 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed ex-RUSTEC54c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2451446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked SPARTA44c55.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked ex-RUSTEC75c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3319150.3%96 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed ex-RUSTEC50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f57…a4c0backed SPARTA32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…2e8ebacked SPARTA35c45.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.46960.9%42 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9248…6955backed SPARTA26c45.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.41118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked ex-RUSTEC29c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0522837.3%85 W · 143 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94e8…f707backed ex-RUSTEC65c43.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289053.3%48 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed SPARTA50c43.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5319454.1%105 W · 89 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1efb…dd8abacked SPARTA61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.987946.8%37 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked SPARTA51c34.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.763,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked SPARTA53c33.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.969938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked SPARTA32c32.79$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.332,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed SPARTA71c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3325747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed ex-RUSTEC35c31.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0421755.8%121 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed SPARTA51c30.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1111656%65 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…f417backed SPARTA52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick52cpaid+59.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ex-RUSTEC50c29.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.571,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed SPARTA71c27.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.025438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6844…d538backed SPARTA47c25.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5311557.4%66 W · 49 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc943…754dbacked SPARTA51c25.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-RUSTEC45c25.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.411,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked SPARTA50c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.562,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed SPARTA66c24.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.247568%51 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed SPARTA52c21.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3516351.5%84 W · 79 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked SPARTA64c20.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3116963.3%107 W · 62 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.