CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe25423c6b6feacb5441f673d3646304545432a91d4486360ebd220a8a3af2fea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof ex-RUSTEC, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x270e…53cabacked SPARTA | 47c | 2,761$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.17 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUSTEC | 28c | 2,524$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 48c | 2,374$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 1,542$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.97 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed SPARTA | 45c | 1,505$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.98 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked SPARTA | 52c | 1,120$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.9 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 1,000$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.44 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…6001backed SPARTA | 52c | 933.74$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.86 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 834.63$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.4 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA | 65c | 557.18$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.88 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUSTEC | 31c | 544.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked SPARTA | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed ex-RUSTEC | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed SPARTA | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked SPARTA | 76c | 348.84$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed SPARTA | 47c | 341.28$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.28 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 61c | 333.33$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed SPARTA | 59c | 332.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.23 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed SPARTA | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SPARTA | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 299.01$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed SPARTA | 51c | 288.41$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed ex-RUSTEC | 28c | 274.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SPARTA | 68c | 270.59$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUSTEC | 32c | 261.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked SPARTA | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed ex-RUSTEC | 29c | 256$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SPARTA | 76c | 249$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 30c | 238.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73bf…8475backed SPARTA | 51c | 220.59$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed SPARTA | 67c | 206.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ex-RUSTEC | 24c | 194.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked ex-RUSTEC | 51c | 174$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC | 35c | 151$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 133$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ex-RUSTEC | 37c | 130.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUSTEC | 54c | 125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 117.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SPARTA | 79c | 108$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked SPARTA | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked SPARTA | 61c | 92.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed ex-RUSTEC | 28c | 83.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed SPARTA | 60c | 80.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked ex-RUSTEC | 29c | 78.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 74.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed ex-RUSTEC | 28c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SPARTA | 53c | 73.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed SPARTA | 52c | 71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SPARTA | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked ex-RUSTEC | 29c | 61.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed SPARTA | 71c | 49.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ex-RUSTEC | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed SPARTA | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed ex-RUSTEC | 34c | 34.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUSTEC | 49c | 30.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed SPARTA | 51c | 30.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SPARTA | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked SPARTA | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 25.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…bd85backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 24.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed SPARTA | 52c | 21.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…ff81backed SPARTA | 80c | 13.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 PlayoffsSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.