CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e2ef816593712dbfcf1d8e81bcffb561872b9843494b64376127000973ce24f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 73c | 2,463$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.42 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked SPARTA | 48c | 1,237$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.92 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked SPARTA | 26c | 1,184$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.36 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 1,027$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.27 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked SPARTA | 26c | 857.34$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.4 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed SPARTA | 26c | 847.18$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.91 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 52c | 545.87$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.85 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed ex-RUSTEC | 73c | 540.88$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.73 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed SPARTA | 26c | 384.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.61 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed SPARTA | 29c | 339$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.69 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SPARTA | 28c | 295.82$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.72 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA | 34c | 260$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.35 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 227.69$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.31 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…3e7abacked SPARTA | 26c | 214.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.73 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 202.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed SPARTA | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed ex-RUSTEC | 53c | 189.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 141.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked SPARTA | 28c | 119.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 118.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SPARTA | 57c | 108.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 99.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed SPARTA | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed SPARTA | 25c | 83.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked SPARTA | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SPARTA | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked SPARTA | 27c | 55.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 52.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ex-RUSTEC | 49c | 50.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed SPARTA | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed ex-RUSTEC | 75c | 26.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed ex-RUSTEC | 76c | 18.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 PlayoffsSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.