TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pirates vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Piratesof Pirates, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2bf…2ab3backed Rockies13c7,889$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.222740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates57c4,057$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.31,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies11c3,112$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.839,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fdcbacked Pirates65c2,715$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.01580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Rockies10c2,553$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24566645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pirates58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9771751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockies41c1,851$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.061,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Rockies42c1,800$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.995947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rockies43c1,470$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.1670946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies6c1,397$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.936,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1275…5b87backed Rockies11c1,335$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5412924.8%32 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Rockies5c1,303$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.797416.2%12 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick7cpaid+74.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Rockies41c1,288$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.9224248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef69…a854backed Pirates59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.954461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3c…5c56backed Rockies42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Pirates59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4634550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates57c826.77$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.742,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rockies6c720.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.094754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dde…8a88backed Rockies18c699.25$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9110451.9%54 W · 50 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rockies39c653.98$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.055,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Pirates58c644$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.485851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies12c631.09$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.244,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockies43c590$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.743654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Pirates59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4723060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockies43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Pirates58c499.97$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9930850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x954b…ad5ebacked Rockies13c450.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockies3c425$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.55053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rockies12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51a1…1467backed Rockies24c338.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807328.8%21 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies40c337.52$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.011,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates60c332.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.682,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.872,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Rockies7c321.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Rockies42c260$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.211463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rockies41c256.43$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Pirates58c239$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3840548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies15c234$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7645749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Rockies7c229.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates59c220$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.21,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies7c218.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.271,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies42c196.43$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.543247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…3464backed Pirates59c192.98$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.124847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Rockies13c191.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.651,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rockies42c188$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.962,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Pirates59c186.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4416659.6%99 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Rockies43c186.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8031244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75b6…8ad0backed Rockies14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513345.9%61 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Pirates58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4156351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Rockies20c171.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pirates59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies40c166.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6751347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f0…a193backed Pirates60c166.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.464055%22 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Pirates61c164.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5612459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Rockies21c151.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4520649.5%102 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Rockies42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.424951.8%129 W · 120 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Rockies42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508848.9%43 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4354…571fbacked Pirates59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6413456.7%76 W · 58 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Pirates61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.992754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Rockies40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Rockies10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Rockies41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4166751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Rockies42c97.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4118236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd32…c9c1backed Rockies41c97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.777842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4917…16dabacked Pirates59c93.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.224456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Pirates59c91.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5312549.6%62 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Pirates59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7514150.4%71 W · 70 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Rockies41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x282f…ac8dbacked Rockies41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026845.5%122 W · 146 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Pirates77c71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3311560%69 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5340…5e2bbacked Rockies16c70.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2113047.7%62 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Pirates59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.822958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Pirates74c67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4225364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Rockies40c66.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.675844.8%26 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x771d…f2a9backed Pirates60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd827…7570backed Rockies42c64.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rockies41c64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac5…fff5backed Pirates60c63.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.355152.9%27 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Rockies40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525440.6%103 W · 151 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Rockies41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.642651.2%218 W · 208 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e8…77c4backed Pirates68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.828456%47 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff94…c347backed Pirates80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Rockies38c47.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.913839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Rockies43c46.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.091,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x102c…a24cbacked Pirates58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.116251.9%84 W · 78 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies41c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.521,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb579…f458backed Rockies42c38.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1635551.5%183 W · 172 L+24.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c59…b8e9backed Rockies40c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd4a…2553backed Rockies42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159952.5%52 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pirates58c35.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7826056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0084…4c4fbacked Pirates73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1811165.8%73 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x394c…902dbacked Rockies41c33.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a47…a16abacked Pirates59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.94568.9%31 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4529…2790backed Pirates60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe49f…b920backed Rockies43c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.191553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f0…1d2dbacked Pirates80c32.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.581323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.