MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee49676214553a372735ac659245675dc277b110cfeffad2c5041955ba2b5502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Royals, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Red Sox | 60c | 66,666$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,666.39 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Royals | 40c | 30,988$12,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,395.03 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Royals | 38c | 16,206$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,098.98 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Royals | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Royals | 40c | 5,031$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.4 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Red Sox | 60c | 3,954$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.6 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 59c | 3,943$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.66 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Royals | 41c | 3,049$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Royals | 40c | 2,970$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.51 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 2c | 2,938$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Royals | 40c | 2,485$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 41c | 2,295$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,952$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.67 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,669$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.7 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Royals | 40c | 1,561$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.22 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Royals | 3c | 1,476$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Royals | 40c | 1,360$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Red Sox | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Royals | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Royals | 9c | 1,176$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 59c | 1,144$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.9 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 39c | 1,130$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.68 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Royals | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Royals | 35c | 1,098$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.77 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 58c | 1,092$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.84 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Royals | 40c | 1,048$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.2 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Royals | 10c | 1,047$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Red Sox | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Royals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Royals | 39c | 984.21$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.63 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Royals | 39c | 967.5$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Royals | 4c | 903.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Royals | 40c | 812$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Red Sox | 60c | 812$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Royals | 40c | 795$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Royals | 13c | 784.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Royals | 5c | 720$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Royals | 39c | 710.92$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.26 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 60c | 691.67$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.67 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Royals | 40c | 691.1$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.44 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Royals | 40c | 669.94$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.98 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Royals | 2c | 635.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Royals | 4c | 615$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Red Sox | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Royals | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Red Sox | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…85ecbacked Royals | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Royals | 40c | 495$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Royals | 13c | 450$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…7656backed Royals | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 9c | 433.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Royals | 40c | 411.29$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.52 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Royals | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Red Sox | 59c | 300.38$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 59c | 282.97$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Sox | 59c | 273.18$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 4c | 265.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Royals | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Royals | 8c | 246$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 42c | 239.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 58c | 230$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Royals | 40c | 219.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 61c | 213$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Red Sox | 60c | 210$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Royals | 40c | 208$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 40c | 207.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Red Sox | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Red Sox | 59c | 179.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Sox | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Royals | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Royals | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cd…3477backed Royals | 40c | 129$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Red Sox | 60c | 126.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e30…66f2backed Royals | 41c | 121.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Royals | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Red Sox | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…1d0fbacked Red Sox | 60c | 113.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367f…c41abacked Royals | 40c | 112.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Royals | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Royals | 13c | 104.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 41c | 101$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Royals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ee…2198backed Red Sox | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 69c | 99.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…9841backed Royals | 41c | 99.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…0cb6backed Red Sox | 61c | 92.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b47…8df3backed Royals | 40c | 90.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…83c8backed Royals | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f8…1bc3backed Red Sox | 60c | 86.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc2…c3d2backed Red Sox | 61c | 85.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…8109backed Royals | 41c | 84.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d49…fb65backed Red Sox | 60c | 78.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Royals | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Royals | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.