MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccd41c0ab900e371bfcb817527311890d5e9980dc68a850b095b5bd14c58deb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Royals, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Twins | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Royals | 45c | 4,360$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.1 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 1c | 4,306$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Royals | 3c | 3,533$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Royals | 0c | 2,606$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 54c | 2,082$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.49 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 5c | 1,604$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Royals | 45c | 1,144$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…1d2dbacked Royals | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 55c | 882.38$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.07 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Twins | 54c | 602.93$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.51 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…021cbacked Twins | 55c | 576$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…0065backed Royals | 45c | 560$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Royals | 7c | 545$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8f…0a06backed Royals | 45c | 540$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3984backed Twins | 55c | 524$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Royals | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Royals | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 45c | 499.97$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 45c | 499.96$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 55c | 272$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins | 54c | 266.22$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…a9f8backed Twins | 55c | 220.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Royals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Royals | 22c | 203$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb33b…18efbacked Twins | 55c | 201.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…8ee3backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…9969backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2d21backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -11.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…af2cbacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…670dbacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…a553backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…0838backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…18d9backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…d24cbacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c54abacked Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…8197backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf3…b281backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…1e7abacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…a478backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…ced0backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…a93dbacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…3adfbacked Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…35d3backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x144b…199ebacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…0883backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fd…1753backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…70c6backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d6…e499backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…eecfbacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…8250backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3807…83c9backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…752cbacked Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…8706backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…32d7backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…d2f9backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…be9dbacked Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…d670backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea5…a429backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…5e61backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…2a08backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb913…f8f3backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…780fbacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…d59bbacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…6feebacked Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…e2dbbacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…5b7ebacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc2…9a9cbacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…c5d1backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…a341backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…0fdebacked Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcafe…ab1fbacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…bf0bbacked Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…b30ebacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22b…6880backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…70efbacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…5ab9backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5013…5aaebacked Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…0047backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…62b1backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca45…d552backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…8d7dbacked Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb833…2bb2backed Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…abcfbacked Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…c018backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…6944backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…0890backed Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.