MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfedad3141e8ccda58199d97712004f90d82f2eb26163821a4fc334742eb980d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Nationals, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 60c | 20,630$12,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,334.74 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Nationals | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Nationals | 40c | 12,818$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,127.33 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Giants | 62c | 11,352$7,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,313.58 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Giants | 59c | 9,356$5,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,854.04 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 38c | 8,500$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Giants | 59c | 7,471$4,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.19 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Nationals | 41c | 5,022$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Giants | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 38c | 3,928$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.49 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nationals | 39c | 3,000$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.98 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Giants | 62c | 2,874$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.3 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Giants | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 40c | 2,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 15c | 1,688$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Nationals | 39c | 1,600$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 62c | 1,407$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.82 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…77d5backed Giants | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…66a1backed Nationals | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…2d70backed Nationals | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Giants | 57c | 1,264$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.37 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa17b…d7a7backed Giants | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants | 61c | 1,092$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.88 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nationals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 40c | 961$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.4 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 40c | 951$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.4 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8cfabacked Nationals | 44c | 818$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…8d36backed Nationals | 43c | 813.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Giants | 61c | 786.89$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.89 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…4a30backed Nationals | 43c | 744$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Giants | 61c | 688.21$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.4 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 40c | 632$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Nationals | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…d210backed Giants | 57c | 532$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c7…04d7backed Nationals | 43c | 530$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…516bbacked Nationals | 43c | 520$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…12e0backed Giants | 57c | 518$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 17c | 500.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 5c | 459.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…4893backed Giants | 57c | 439$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…6576backed Giants | 56c | 429$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Nationals | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…3e6abacked Giants | 56c | 389$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…5ee7backed Giants | 57c | 386$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…03b2backed Giants | 57c | 375$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Giants | 55c | 369.74$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 40c | 364.17$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 20c | 361.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…f93ebacked Giants | 57c | 358$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 40c | 328.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.17 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Nationals | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 41c | 300$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 27c | 283.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Nationals | 38c | 281.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 57c | 262.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Nationals | 40c | 248.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Giants | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Giants | 80c | 200.8$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 41c | 199.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Nationals | 10c | 196.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…2d0cbacked Nationals | 39c | 192.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 38c | 177.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…9bb4backed Nationals | 39c | 174.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Nationals | 12c | 172.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 40c | 155.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nationals | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…0d61backed Nationals | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ef…69f4backed Nationals | 39c | 141.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Nationals | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…f308backed Nationals | 39c | 128.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +75%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Giants | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Giants | 58c | 114$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc5…9819backed Giants | 61c | 113.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…c759backed Giants | 61c | 113.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed Nationals | 39c | 111.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c79…8268backed Giants | 61c | 111.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a7…672bbacked Giants | 61c | 109.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 58c | 106.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Nationals | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Giants | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Nationals | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Nationals | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…c19cbacked Giants | 62c | 97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…1de0backed Giants | 61c | 96.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nationals | 39c | 95.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Giants | 61c | 95.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 40c | 94.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ab…0a40backed Giants | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…cd24backed Nationals | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Giants | 62c | 85.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…4be7backed Giants | 62c | 80.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Giants | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Giants | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Nationals | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.