TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will France win on 2025-11-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$412,094
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$464,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,094 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0aa3…64e9backed No12c69,214$8,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,486.551822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No7c50,000$3,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,572.6227039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No11c35,971$4,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,023.754,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No12c23,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,76025038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No0c22,173$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.175024%12 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+124.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No12c14,194$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.4628133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes80c13,499$10,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.7811354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No28c8,123$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.017354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No12c6,810$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.7546536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No12c5,562$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.3817048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No11c4,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9712310.6%13 W · 110 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c4,234$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.363,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes80c3,563$2,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.9713461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No11c3,495$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.3116835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No12c3,050$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36660511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9912525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed No13c2,959$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.673423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No11c2,444$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.0531851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507135.2%25 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes62c1,940$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.23141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca51…ca40backed Yes62c1,845$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No20c1,576$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.3576048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No12c1,544$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.289324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No31c1,393$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.2428731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked No11c1,330$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.31127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes70c1,300$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3966939.1%27 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7658…fc19backed Yes76c1,200$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No17c1,033$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.2418641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No15c1,000$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5521016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No12c999.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9922421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No11c997.19$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6934630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2167…b8a5backed No12c799.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed No12c757.08$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8512257.4%70 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No12c700$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8411444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8b…3c39backed Yes65c636.03$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.614100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No20c610.18$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.541,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes63c555.56$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5622551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No20c538.23$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6517345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No12c521.34$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5113654.4%74 W · 62 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed No12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013112.2%16 W · 115 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No12c499.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No6c495.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7122041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…4d23backed Yes79c491$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.891275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No11c416.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.272740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes79c411.54$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.547058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Yes79c408.73$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.231040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes75c369.54$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.758932.6%29 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed Yes74c343.92$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9213531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes66c336.52$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.521233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37fc…8e93backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32de…a519backed Yes65c309.1$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b22…c776backed Yes65c306.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.011040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187038.6%27 W · 43 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+69%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed No12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No30c297.83$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5955045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No16c289.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.928145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked Yes70c279.98$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.691668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No26c238.22$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.999633.3%32 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ae…bbbabacked Yes68c230.43$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.74966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+100.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No12c225$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.887247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b6d…ece3backed Yes65c221.54$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.54955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+63.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes80c200.01$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.746222.6%14 W · 48 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-11.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed No13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266212.9%8 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed No64c193.25$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.524946.9%23 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes63c191$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.673946.2%18 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No13c185.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.547799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaac2…df3abacked Yes71c169.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.012763%17 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd480…799ebacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No13c150.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2339621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1628754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaadd…637dbacked Yes80c143.74$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.751163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked No14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x10d3…3d7abacked No14c139.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.243043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No11c136$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9678927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked No13c130.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.035339.6%21 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6e…1eefbacked Yes63c130.84$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked No13c115.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.364443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…3e38backed No19c103.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204221.4%9 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207647.4%36 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128944.9%40 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x562f…e46fbacked No13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-56.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x54ca…7e84backed No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207634.2%26 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe67…26c4backed Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb150…ac78backed Yes79c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a5…4540backed Yes65c69.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.58557.6%49 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x338c…738bbacked Yes69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd8…b384backed Yes66c57.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.58580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+74.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Yes65c54.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.031050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aec…2020backed Yes65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.851020%2 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-65%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No36c51.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.635747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Yes79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.637665.8%50 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2517851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.