Fifa International · resolved market
Will Azerbaijan vs. France end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f6817492597600f3d7734f976045059ced703e36c9192f978e0d6f10279dbd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 8c | 1,260$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 21c | 1,111$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.31 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 9c | 999.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 10c | 999.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…e890backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 22c | 275.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Yes | 23c | 203.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 14c | 187.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 9c | 167$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Yes | 19c | 161.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…2d71backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 149.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 144$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 23c | 83.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 30.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Azerbaijan vs. France end in a draw?this page
- Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-11-16?No won
- Will France win on 2025-11-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.