Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Guido Justo vs Alvaro Guillen Meza
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14201706a2f8b15ee6ae721e761b7bf6f41323479679aadb2b3a012fc06fd840
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mezaof Justo, Meza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Meza | 49c | 36,465$17,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,490.36 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Meza | 57c | 16,540$9,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,173.82 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Justo | 69c | 11,686$8,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,014.93 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Justo | 29c | 7,794$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Justo | 36c | 7,510$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.93 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Justo | 72c | 7,499$5,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,387.98 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Justo | 60c | 6,850$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.98 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Justo | 57c | 6,796$3,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,852.74 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Meza | 51c | 6,630$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.67 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Justo | 24c | 6,250$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Meza | 48c | 5,687$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.19 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Justo | 41c | 5,544$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.44 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Justo | 73c | 4,815$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.72 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Meza | 51c | 3,970$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.65 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Meza | 48c | 3,790$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.8 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Meza | 48c | 3,330$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.22 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Meza | 46c | 3,300$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.85 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Justo | 15c | 3,292$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Justo | 50c | 3,121$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.54 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Justo | 55c | 2,927$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.93 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Meza | 46c | 2,679$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.36 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Justo | 63c | 2,504$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.51 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Justo | 48c | 2,139$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.42 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Justo | 39c | 1,811$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.77 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Justo | 37c | 1,678$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.73 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…e568backed Meza | 68c | 1,601$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.91 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Meza | 75c | 1,341$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.01 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Justo | 62c | 1,324$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.71 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Justo | 64c | 1,090$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.11 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Justo | 52c | 979.27$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Meza | 53c | 901.86$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.2 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Meza | 52c | 867.66$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.41 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Justo | 47c | 845.54$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Meza | 54c | 726.89$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.99 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Meza | 56c | 714.47$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.85 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Justo | 59c | 698.35$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.08 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Justo | 50c | 615$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.45 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Meza | 28c | 425$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…197abacked Meza | 73c | 412.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Meza | 52c | 303.12$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.42 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Justo | 38c | 261.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Meza | 79c | 259.87$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Justo | 20c | 254$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 13cpaid | +273.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Justo | 40c | 251.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Justo | 44c | 242.79$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…632abacked Meza | 51c | 236.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Meza | 62c | 235.36$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Justo | 45c | 233.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Justo | 38c | 204.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Meza | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Justo | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…298fbacked Justo | 26c | 185.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Justo | 34c | 177.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…93d9backed Meza | 56c | 177.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Meza | 51c | 176.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Justo | 7c | 171.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…85debacked Justo | 69c | 145.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Justo | 25c | 144.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Meza | 77c | 139.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f60…a419backed Meza | 78c | 129.37$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Meza | 56c | 124$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Meza | 56c | 123.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Meza | 54c | 114.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Justo | 38c | 113.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Justo | 16c | 111$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Meza | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f86…554cbacked Justo | 48c | 104.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Justo | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Meza | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Justo | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Justo | 48c | 90.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…159cbacked Justo | 65c | 84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Justo | 32c | 75.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Justo | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Justo | 29c | 71.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bb…38f6backed Meza | 67c | 67.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Meza | 75c | 66.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Justo | 26c | 62.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Meza | 61c | 60.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Justo | 57c | 60.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Justo | 42c | 56.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Meza | 44c | 56.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…89b8backed Meza | 59c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Meza | 31c | 52.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Meza | 61c | 49.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Meza | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Justo | 65c | 46.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…8f96backed Meza | 79c | 44.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Justo | 28c | 43.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…9d94backed Justo | 34c | 40.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…a2acbacked Justo | 75c | 39.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Meza | 50c | 39.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Justo | 41c | 38.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Meza | 46c | 38.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Justo | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba42…a893backed Justo | 51c | 29.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Meza | 44c | 25.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…f90dbacked Meza | 58c | 25.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…125ebacked Justo | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5c…3769backed Justo | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigre 2: Guido Justo vs Alvaro Guillen Mezathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Justo vs MezaMeza won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.