TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Cori Gauff

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Osakaof Osaka, Gauff
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Gauff57c67,061$38,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,4403246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Osaka43c45,659$19,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,203.798052.5%42 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Gauff57c38,600$22,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,135.85950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Osaka43c20,000$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,40022037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Osaka44c15,444$6,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,604.194040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Osaka43c15,293$6,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,664.632733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Osaka43c15,013$6,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,607.189354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Osaka42c10,036$4,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,820.732152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Osaka56c9,397$5,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,094.610845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Gauff28c8,900$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.84137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-87.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Osaka42c7,300$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.9915957.2%91 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Osaka43c6,661$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,796.771,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Osaka50c6,093$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.438949.4%44 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Gauff15c5,956$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.3839144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Osaka43c5,805$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,308.8511230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0344…a65ebacked Osaka43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8501662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Gauff16c3,939$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.7665242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Gauff57c3,200$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.826039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Osaka43c2,502$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.9936440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Osaka43c2,205$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.923732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Osaka42c2,034$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1803441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Gauff58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16022629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Osaka42c1,821$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.431,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Gauff57c1,760$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.212954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Gauff20c1,505$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2971,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Osaka43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8559245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Gauff28c1,350$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.1932141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Osaka55c1,323$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.5811652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd1…8257backed Osaka43c1,272$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.775100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Gauff57c1,250$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.53268.8%22 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3868…5683backed Osaka43c1,250$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.57330.1%22 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Osaka43c1,221$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.9762742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c2…10cebacked Gauff4c1,117$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.71837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Osaka79c1,026$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0411053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Gauff20c1,001$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.694955.1%27 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Gauff57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5702157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Osaka43c922.75$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.9716140.4%65 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Gauff36c920$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.2112134.7%42 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Osaka76c862.72$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.175052%26 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Gauff20c812.96$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010134.7%35 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce09…6b0bbacked Gauff56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4484254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Gauff27c738.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005332.1%17 W · 36 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Osaka43c699$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.4347639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Osaka45c664.44$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.443151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Gauff31c663.68$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7415439.6%61 W · 93 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Gauff57c585.96$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3349149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed Osaka42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Gauff43c464.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Gauff31c410$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.525330%76 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Gauff22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Osaka42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ea…60f4backed Gauff57c352.63$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b79…722bbacked Gauff40c351.22$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Gauff58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb78d…1d48backed Gauff58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Osaka63c325.24$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.222,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Osaka46c324.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1925352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Gauff58c317.24$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18459151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c76…ded5backed Gauff25c300$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.51127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked Gauff56c299.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Osaka42c291.48$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0612231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…1240backed Osaka45c282.2$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.16540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdf…edf9backed Gauff58c282.16$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.653458.8%20 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Gauff57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Osaka42c253.19$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6255143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Osaka43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.52123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-59.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Gauff4c249.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.913245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gauff19c248.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Gauff59c244.95$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.522653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2729…e171backed Osaka43c232.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.611546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Osaka44c228.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0363942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee05…812fbacked Osaka44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Gauff22c225.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.552544%11 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Osaka45c223.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.37650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc80…e7bebacked Gauff47c213.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0e…9012backed Gauff58c206.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97be…416dbacked Osaka44c204.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.551631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Osaka45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.22857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Osaka43c199.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1152751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Gauff56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Gauff57c176.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10071857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8158…9afcbacked Gauff58c173.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Gauff58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Gauff58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Osaka63c158.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9620447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Osaka80c153.44$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.692653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Gauff26c121.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.691040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8210…b328backed Osaka44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Gauff35c109.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Gauff58c101.09$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6312949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Osaka45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554940.8%20 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5694…2845backed Gauff57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Osaka56c98.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3432161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Gauff38c94.74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3628828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Osaka75c94$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c40…ea3dbacked Osaka44c91.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.215446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1424…4f78backed Gauff58c91.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5312843%55 W · 73 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Gauff56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Gauff58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Gauff21c85.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.863537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.