TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Red Sox vs. Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Soxof Red Sox, Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$464,190
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$462,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,190 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38a…8d26backed Red Sox33c298,705$98,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200,356.7417652.8%93 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yankees67c163,290$109,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,403.9935854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Yankees67c52,230$34,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,886.086556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees73c12,384$9,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,006.9286751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees67c11,385$7,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,627.781,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees49c11,162$5,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,497.372,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yankees68c11,037$7,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,505.2641850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yankees67c10,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,70024553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a7…5a88backed Yankees67c9,999$6,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,699.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…52dcbacked Red Sox33c9,996$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,697.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Yankees70c7,143$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006847.1%32 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Yankees68c6,861$4,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,635.0650852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Yankees69c6,046$4,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,149.3632852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yankees59c5,733$3,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,370.7791749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees67c5,139$3,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,431.641,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Yankees19c3,727$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71217136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Yankees1c3,674$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.048762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Yankees68c3,114$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.6126847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Yankees54c3,111$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.117238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yankees69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0709862.2%61 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yankees69c2,595$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.417754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976c…62b8backed Red Sox32c2,344$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.751540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf64a…27c9backed Yankees21c2,118$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.465545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yankees69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yankees67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Red Sox22c2,000$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.539920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yankees4c2,000$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.525416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe94…7bb6backed Red Sox16c1,985$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.891717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Red Sox28c1,760$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.6931248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Yankees1c1,710$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.715852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Yankees69c1,646$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.825550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Red Sox56c1,549$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.5940547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Yankees68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9937446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.591,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Red Sox33c1,248$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.4839436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Yankees70c1,149$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.67451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yankees26c1,135$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae3f…12fabacked Yankees22c1,105$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.112025.8%31 W · 89 L-15.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yankees22c1,082$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.21,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Red Sox76c912.23$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7668769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Red Sox25c907.29$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67925835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Yankees3c901$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.015053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox31c825.96$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.911,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Red Sox18c815$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.718139.5%32 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Yankees48c793.93$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.931,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees11c790.41$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.731,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Red Sox33c766.18$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.6815543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3620…229abacked Yankees2c729.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yankees64c682.7$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.0579740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yankees67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40233852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yankees66c595.76$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.233349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Yankees23c520$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4915644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Yankees70c501$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.765549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Yankees9c500$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467135.2%25 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Red Sox80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Red Sox33c499.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.9951151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Yankees66c446.41$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.535,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…52bcbacked Yankees69c442.39$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Yankees68c441.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yankees6c420.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yankees23c419.3$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4451334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Yankees24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddce…6c35backed Yankees69c395.43$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.85650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf47d…f295backed Red Sox32c369.62$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.342751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yankees52c369$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8712451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cc…387abacked Yankees15c360$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.863240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox50c359.64$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.359,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d75…ab74backed Yankees15c357$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.69616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-57%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Red Sox25c347.08$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.316046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox31c332.6$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.632,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac7…fec6backed Yankees67c320$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.49150.5%46 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Red Sox31c303.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.7444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yankees43c297$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0496133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees69c290$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.145248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Sox44c272.25$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3463942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yankees68c264.38$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Red Sox16c250.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.143545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Red Sox16c247.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1213946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x766c…2377backed Red Sox17c235.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.292429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Red Sox32c234.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.385444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Red Sox15c213.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3322312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Red Sox34c205.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8810552.4%55 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Red Sox15c200.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.749824.5%24 W · 74 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Red Sox31c195.84$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1318236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Red Sox33c190$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.732488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6656…433dbacked Yankees64c173.34$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.65520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-65.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox32c172.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7701…6ea2backed Yankees17c171$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4417051.8%88 W · 82 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…d29ebacked Red Sox17c170$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.11540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Yankees67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Yankees69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yankees24c143.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3517744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yankees69c135.58$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5514654.8%80 W · 66 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Yankees70c134.29$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9428453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed6…b287backed Yankees31c130$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Red Sox17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6520645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Red Sox48c114.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7742955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.