Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle beat Everton?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x113e8b09da1fe4da7262d379280d48fa32ddd2d0eef44851e65b3ec3c2214fab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 49c | 30,308$14,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,997.82 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 50c | 21,834$10,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,955.41 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 50c | 5,396$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.71 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 55c | 4,555$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.45 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…5760backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…d296backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…d9f9backed Yes | 52c | 1,600$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 42c | 1,566$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.04 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 55c | 1,434$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.58 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 47c | 759.15$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.47 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 50c | 721.01$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.18 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 45c | 662.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d0…f4f0backed Yes | 49c | 646.49$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Yes | 50c | 600$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 59c | 572.73$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.62 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 27c | 512.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes | 49c | 497.86$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.95 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 56c | 443.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.35 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…969dbacked Yes | 50c | 383.02$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 49c | 348.49$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.76 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b7…9a3cbacked Yes | 49c | 327.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Yes | 50c | 311.38$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed No | 53c | 305.66$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…6baebacked No | 53c | 302.23$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cd…206fbacked Yes | 49c | 294.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No | 57c | 262.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 50c | 252$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 54c | 247.09$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.6 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 49c | 197.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 59c | 168.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Yes | 48c | 146.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 52c | 132.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked No | 40c | 113.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…b7f2backed Yes | 50c | 113.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 51c | 111$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…62aabacked No | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 50c | 97.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 43c | 96.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…ec75backed No | 58c | 92.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…fe16backed Yes | 44c | 80.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…bb0abacked Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed Yes | 45c | 71.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…cb64backed Yes | 46c | 71.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…edfabacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…9fb5backed Yes | 46c | 64.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc177…24b9backed Yes | 44c | 56.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3a…170bbacked Yes | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Yes | 49c | 32.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…991cbacked No | 53c | 31.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…fb87backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4b51backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…a64cbacked No | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…9c51backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle beat Everton?this page
- Will Everton beat Newcastle?No won
- Will the match between Everton and Newcastle end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.