Premier League · resolved market
Will the match between Everton and Newcastle end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d8d9e2f610dc214924c59ba8dabbae773f1fe6ff0fab52f14c0ebc2367c612
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 31c | 2,418$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.32 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 72c | 2,021$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.4 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…d296backed Yes | 61c | 493.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 40c | 318.82$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…aca3backed No | 63c | 253.17$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 73c | 164.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…3368backed Yes | 63c | 159.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 37c | 158.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…bb0abacked No | 47c | 143.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 74c | 135.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…cb64backed No | 47c | 131.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 73c | 122.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…9fb5backed No | 45c | 101.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56b…bf5fbacked No | 75c | 98.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…1b57backed Yes | 27c | 97.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +273.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 65c | 81.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…991cbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…d4f8backed No | 75c | 54.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b7…5d97backed Yes | 27c | 48.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +276.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…943dbacked No | 75c | 33.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…29aebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1f…2d16backed No | 75c | 24.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88b…9c45backed No | 75c | 24.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Everton and Newcastle end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton beat Newcastle?No won
- Will Newcastle beat Everton?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.