Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton beat Newcastle?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2876acb20e34494ebd298a139a9089be9c7b6892c79bd39af38a465e8370f56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 80c | 4,019$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.3 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 74c | 3,021$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,671$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.89 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 21c | 1,490$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.91 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 27c | 847.18$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.67 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 73c | 599.99$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 21c | 555$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d0…f4f0backed Yes | 21c | 449.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 29c | 443.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 28c | 409.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…3af0backed No | 72c | 350$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…a282backed Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…f4e5backed No | 74c | 237$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c2…e83ebacked No | 71c | 147.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…8cb4backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…17b6backed Yes | 21c | 83.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7490…d3a2backed Yes | 22c | 70.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked Yes | 26c | 65.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…991cbacked Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b7…8c64backed No | 71c | 55.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…bdb0backed Yes | 28c | 53.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…1770backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…be30backed Yes | 29c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b96…f366backed No | 74c | 14.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton beat Newcastle?this page
- Will Newcastle beat Everton?No won
- Will the match between Everton and Newcastle end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.