Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham beat Ipswich Town?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c7602a4d5fe8bcbbe39090ad8218ed117342c1e03023c50b3f264db17aed99e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 45c | 2,138$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.51 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.42 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…b5f8backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 47c | 544$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 68c | 525.87$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.98 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 49c | 499.93$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.97 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 51c | 447.65$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.04 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 53c | 444$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.68 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 49c | 355$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.95 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked No | 48c | 218.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…f4e5backed Yes | 53c | 193.13$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d6…bfb5backed No | 47c | 113.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59bd…c0e7backed Yes | 51c | 106.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…77aebacked Yes | 55c | 77.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 49c | 72.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…ab31backed No | 50c | 66.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd07e…f13bbacked Yes | 54c | 65.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…a6d5backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…1770backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 51c | 48.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c492backed No | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2228…9683backed Yes | 55c | 46.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…2ce6backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…29aebacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 48c | 25.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…c88cbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 78c | 13.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham beat Ipswich Town?this page
- Will Ipswich Town beat West Ham?No won
- Will the match between West Ham and Ipswich Town end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.