Premier League · resolved market
Will the match between West Ham and Ipswich Town end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3161c821b5150249987f5f7b9655387edecbf901e15cdb1fcc120880b3dde20f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 25c | 3,117$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.23 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 23c | 2,491$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.98 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8149…c8a0backed No | 77c | 2,300$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0e…ae5dbacked Yes | 25c | 2,300$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 73c | 1,800$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.16 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 27c | 1,778$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.22 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 73c | 608.62$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…063bbacked Yes | 27c | 530.37$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 75c | 444$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a5…7201backed No | 76c | 275.34$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0b92backed No | 77c | 260.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 74c | 223.84$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 24c | 141$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…96a1backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…46bbbacked Yes | 26c | 85.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1563…c575backed No | 77c | 84.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52a…feb8backed No | 77c | 80.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between West Ham and Ipswich Town end in a draw?this page
- Will Ipswich Town beat West Ham?No won
- Will West Ham beat Ipswich Town?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.