Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City beat Fulham?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72d1f8f2af0af9731f4eb224c3b217627d47f3c6722560bf6ee4e35d3648859d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 19c | 5,836$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.84 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 20c | 1,575$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 4c | 517.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 21c | 517.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 23c | 398.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 76c | 362.94$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 70c | 348.57$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 80c | 333$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 20c | 287$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed Yes | 80c | 283.36$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 17c | 255.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 21c | 242.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 22c | 217.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 79c | 149.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff4…2b03backed Yes | 80c | 138.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…0fa1backed No | 18c | 132.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd07e…f13bbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…8cb4backed No | 22c | 115.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 79c | 104.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…7f88backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Yes | 78c | 97.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…ad5ebacked Yes | 78c | 79.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…d8a7backed No | 25c | 76.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…df1cbacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…295abacked Yes | 80c | 48.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 77c | 47.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…fa22backed Yes | 80c | 45.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…bdb0backed Yes | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Yes | 80c | 41.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…9505backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…9010backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…8d9cbacked Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Yes | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d58…064bbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…7fc6backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef9…0ad3backed Yes | 75c | 24.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…9032backed Yes | 80c | 21.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…aba9backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…b0afbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…896ebacked Yes | 80c | 18.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…a877backed Yes | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f8…e795backed Yes | 78c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…a6d5backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…a792backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…6195backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b2…736cbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…7e58backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba9…533ebacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…8dabbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be9…108bbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City beat Fulham?this page
- Will Fulham beat Manchester City?No won
- Will the match between Manchester City and Fulham end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.