Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool beat Brentford?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc70103c9f6d81bbb4d9c279a7465b61812e1c042c6746d412a65f1d2ca3b3aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 19c | 10,029$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.03 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 19c | 7,546$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.12 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 20c | 4,471$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.17 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked No | 19c | 4,438$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…5f9dbacked No | 21c | 2,083$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 10c | 1,924$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.03 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 20c | 1,778$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.56 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,519$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.17 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673a…60f9backed Yes | 80c | 1,255$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeff…f310backed Yes | 80c | 1,008$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da6…27c0backed No | 23c | 834.72$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9664…f451backed Yes | 80c | 767.25$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…7c7abacked No | 7c | 702.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 21c | 584.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…01c3backed No | 20c | 564.85$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 19c | 555$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…1986backed No | 23c | 529.87$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2ec0backed No | 21c | 478.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 80c | 455.33$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked No | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…3e97backed No | 9c | 361.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 6c | 319.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 17c | 270$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…79dabacked Yes | 80c | 232.25$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31aa…c367backed Yes | 80c | 219.2$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2611…038bbacked Yes | 80c | 214.33$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d34…083cbacked Yes | 80c | 202.65$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…738fbacked No | 19c | 187.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…45bfbacked Yes | 80c | 181.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…6ae5backed Yes | 80c | 170.91$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3d…ee56backed Yes | 80c | 132.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…04c0backed Yes | 80c | 127.28$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…1b74backed No | 21c | 54.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…7977backed Yes | 80c | 52.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 78c | 50.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4b51backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf7…0f54backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53d1…c1e7backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50e…bab3backed Yes | 80c | 47.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 76c | 22.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…9032backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa062…1b9fbacked Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4e…aad6backed Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…c599backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceff…b448backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d4a4backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…dc5ebacked Yes | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3793…f7dabacked Yes | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e0…a14dbacked Yes | 80c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…7e58backed Yes | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…0336backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool beat Brentford?this page
- Will Brentford beat Liverpool?No won
- Will Liverpool vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.