NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0b2446ae1afed644f2402f9e29bc4f86bdad4d6101b6975ba63148d00601ee3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Canadiens | 34c | 3,354$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Lightning | 66c | 1,801$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.95 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 73c | 600$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Canadiens | 44c | 522.64$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.04 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 71c | 500.04$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.69 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Canadiens | 31c | 499.97$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.98 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lightning | 15c | 370.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Canadiens | 29c | 335.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.32 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Lightning | 66c | 320$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lightning | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 32c | 213.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Canadiens | 34c | 201.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Canadiens | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Lightning | 69c | 154.77$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…b09cbacked Canadiens | 32c | 123.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 68c | 118.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Lightning | 20c | 100.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Lightning | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Lightning | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Canadiens | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Lightning | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Lightning | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Lightning | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Lightning | 69c | 91.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 49c | 88.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…36ddbacked Canadiens | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Lightning | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Lightning | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…3eb3backed Canadiens | 42c | 66.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Lightning | 19c | 61.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…a8aabacked Canadiens | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens | 29c | 60.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Lightning | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…1aa7backed Canadiens | 47c | 55.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…0e7ebacked Canadiens | 34c | 54.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…1ea8backed Lightning | 45c | 47.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x737a…2d58backed Lightning | 60c | 37.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Lightning | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0003…e34fbacked Canadiens | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…6919backed Canadiens | 64c | 35.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…78d7backed Lightning | 36c | 34.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Lightning | 37c | 34.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…0b52backed Canadiens | 49c | 34.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7c…d548backed Lightning | 69c | 33.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda52…fd05backed Lightning | 69c | 33.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…f00dbacked Canadiens | 31c | 33.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…552cbacked Lightning | 41c | 33.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…6041backed Lightning | 38c | 33.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe97d…b35dbacked Lightning | 46c | 32.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c02…1318backed Lightning | 35c | 32.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…ef12backed Lightning | 58c | 32.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b31…8384backed Lightning | 69c | 32.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…f558backed Lightning | 69c | 31.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…6e27backed Lightning | 69c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd15b…a81dbacked Canadiens | 55c | 30.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Canadiens | 33c | 30.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…32c7backed Lightning | 69c | 30.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…621cbacked Canadiens | 65c | 30.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e61…6cc4backed Lightning | 34c | 30.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf196…00fbbacked Lightning | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…7f73backed Lightning | 69c | 29.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Lightning | 65c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…d22bbacked Lightning | 37c | 28.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…a608backed Canadiens | 63c | 28.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…9be6backed Lightning | 66c | 28.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe2…c486backed Lightning | 58c | 28.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…7023backed Lightning | 65c | 28.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…9e74backed Lightning | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Lightning | 70c | 28.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…204ebacked Canadiens | 60c | 28.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7812…4bfcbacked Canadiens | 63c | 28.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…6b6bbacked Canadiens | 55c | 27.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x335a…99a2backed Lightning | 67c | 27.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…1153backed Lightning | 39c | 27.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…15debacked Canadiens | 61c | 27.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…f2d5backed Canadiens | 67c | 26.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…63b5backed Lightning | 69c | 26.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…fbc0backed Lightning | 69c | 26.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdd…24cabacked Lightning | 71c | 25.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…9406backed Canadiens | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa39…7ba3backed Lightning | 46c | 25.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…8483backed Lightning | 47c | 25.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b2…c6eebacked Lightning | 69c | 25.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf217…26f2backed Canadiens | 62c | 24.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…1f5abacked Lightning | 69c | 24.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…6ce9backed Canadiens | 62c | 24.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e14…bed4backed Canadiens | 62c | 24.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x527f…c048backed Canadiens | 63c | 24.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…ad2abacked Canadiens | 69c | 23.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3525…eba3backed Canadiens | 61c | 23.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…ba72backed Lightning | 45c | 23.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7f…b1a9backed Canadiens | 61c | 23.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4846…17d7backed Canadiens | 62c | 22.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e9…63edbacked Lightning | 45c | 22.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…75f3backed Lightning | 69c | 22.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1490…cb21backed Lightning | 69c | 22.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ab…dffabacked Canadiens | 77c | 22.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…3eabbacked Lightning | 69c | 21.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.