World Politics · resolved market
South Korean President impeached by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04a387391c702a695c446f155969c6e8907ae3b43315e8249f8a72de81bb0c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,021,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $946,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,021,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 7c | 86,658$5,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,851.68 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…e4c4backed Yes | 20c | 47,120$9,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,591.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 5c | 45,547$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.39 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 1c | 16,744$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.26 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf214…a9e5backed Yes | 21c | 15,268$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 2c | 14,784$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 1c | 14,375$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed No | 68c | 13,319$9,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…c9cdbacked No | 75c | 12,976$9,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bba…e48dbacked Yes | 8c | 12,448$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…b975backed Yes | 32c | 12,159$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 44c | 11,608$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.94 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 13c | 11,591$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 79c | 11,294$8,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.13 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c7…fa37backed Yes | 3c | 10,815$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 21c | 10,554$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.3 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 18c | 9,564$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.36 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656d…de5fbacked Yes | 24c | 9,183$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…7d62backed Yes | 57c | 8,798$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c23…6e68backed No | 71c | 8,587$6,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…bf32backed Yes | 6c | 8,461$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…3911backed Yes | 3c | 7,832$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53df…8a2cbacked No | 80c | 6,849$5,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 32c | 6,705$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 15c | 6,667$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed No | 72c | 6,342$4,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…372bbacked Yes | 14c | 6,292$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed No | 65c | 6,138$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…65ecbacked Yes | 45c | 6,011$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…d879backed No | 66c | 5,943$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…895fbacked No | 77c | 5,739$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 13c | 5,700$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 77c | 5,572$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…a179backed Yes | 10c | 5,442$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 67c | 5,399$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.79 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…42f0backed Yes | 22c | 5,317$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c94…663bbacked No | 75c | 5,133$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 64c | 5,084$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.42 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…0357backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b47…2f60backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 57c | 4,973$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.79 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked No | 75c | 4,936$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.23 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 2c | 4,892$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 28c | 4,623$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.75 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…7a15backed No | 73c | 4,587$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.54 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…a7dcbacked Yes | 48c | 4,289$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…0caabacked No | 74c | 4,280$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…b165backed No | 67c | 4,192$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…7758backed Yes | 5c | 4,017$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +66%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 4c | 3,914$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1592…8959backed No | 78c | 3,877$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…75cfbacked No | 61c | 3,821$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed Yes | 22c | 3,701$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e81…ac67backed Yes | 29c | 3,531$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 44c | 3,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfea…c9febacked No | 59c | 3,368$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…d53ebacked Yes | 27c | 3,318$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 3,242$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.22 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 16c | 3,220$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.06 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 17c | 3,106$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.07 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e6…96b1backed Yes | 3c | 2,944$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc5…91f0backed Yes | 36c | 2,860$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 2c | 2,842$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 30c | 2,834$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5512…5941backed Yes | 2c | 2,814$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…e741backed No | 72c | 2,784$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa165…1305backed No | 49c | 2,768$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…cb80backed Yes | 22c | 2,740$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…6993backed Yes | 52c | 2,644$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fa…1f1dbacked Yes | 43c | 2,561$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f0…ebc7backed Yes | 18c | 2,470$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe316…c49fbacked No | 69c | 2,447$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 21c | 2,397$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes | 41c | 2,361$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 10c | 2,352$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.34 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d4b6backed No | 78c | 2,303$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2621…af21backed Yes | 18c | 2,224$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88dd…5767backed No | 50c | 2,221$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 58c | 2,196$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.29 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…0f41backed Yes | 3c | 2,107$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…7dfebacked No | 80c | 2,089$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 66c | 2,047$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.19 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…54e8backed No | 79c | 2,024$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,973$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…f310backed No | 79c | 1,888$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed No | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…d683backed Yes | 27c | 1,791$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8787…4795backed Yes | 21c | 1,716$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 44c | 1,681$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.21 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ff…8c7cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,681$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 30c | 1,662$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 62c | 1,628$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.29 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…49a1backed No | 67c | 1,611$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd1…36bcbacked Yes | 35c | 1,585$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc786…d82ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,565$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd649…c561backed No | 74c | 1,522$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…b734backed Yes | 44c | 1,494$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…2a06backed Yes | 1c | 1,452$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Yes | 1c | 1,389$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.