TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,932 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc558…e8ccbacked Blackhawks38c700$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.513361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Stars62c663.26$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.5131334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blackhawks30c546.46$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.454349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars72c499.88$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.211,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars71c481.23$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.181,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Blackhawks27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Blackhawks28c358.82$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.768451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks15c357.72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.661,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars70c347.45$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.681,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blackhawks13c339.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Blackhawks29c299.89$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.974440.9%18 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Blackhawks38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blackhawks12c256.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.427450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks29c255$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb48d…9f73backed Stars73c246.61$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Blackhawks28c245.76$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2941851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stars61c220.34$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.753,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blackhawks28c167.48$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Stars70c152.86$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8613562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd294…c690backed Blackhawks10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Blackhawks26c115.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1535545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4d…2095backed Blackhawks27c103.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x059b…199bbacked Blackhawks28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2840%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Stars75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Blackhawks30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3081846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Stars70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3050049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Stars72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16e7…3a94backed Blackhawks28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Stars72c99.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9913953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Blackhawks27c80.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0247249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Blackhawks31c79.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Blackhawks27c74.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0938040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ae…36ddbacked Blackhawks31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b9…14f4backed Blackhawks31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Stars70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.146959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b6…27ddbacked Blackhawks25c55.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.045334%18 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Blackhawks30c53.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1711951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5c…40d8backed Blackhawks28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6720…ffccbacked Stars70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x961f…0708backed Blackhawks28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe989…785abacked Stars72c41.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+141.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x206e…14dfbacked Blackhawks40c37.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a2…866dbacked Stars70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.719260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb040…b6fabacked Stars70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1434…05f3backed Blackhawks31c35.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86cf…03f5backed Stars72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe820…a932backed Stars72c33.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5844…721fbacked Stars73c32.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…4b1bbacked Stars72c31.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc224…3eb6backed Stars72c31.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7710…4478backed Stars69c30.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35b2…e000backed Stars69c29.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe089…6b6bbacked Stars69c29.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25f7…9e74backed Stars70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6759…24f2backed Stars69c28.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7df…fcbebacked Stars72c27.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe711…a894backed Stars72c27.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1156…0bacbacked Stars72c27.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcd…2822backed Stars72c27.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8748…e4d8backed Stars72c27.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0816…b594backed Stars72c26.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fd…7be7backed Stars72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b3…d407backed Stars72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed7…a4d7backed Stars69c24.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce37…5a9abacked Stars72c23.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb92d…d8bbbacked Stars72c23.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdf4…92dfbacked Stars72c23.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ba…6d4bbacked Stars72c23.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1599…1eadbacked Stars69c23.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaee0…4260backed Stars72c22.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4121…ecb5backed Stars72c22.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9523…7174backed Stars72c22.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e7…21efbacked Stars70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.431275%9 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae8…b079backed Stars71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50d0…8e8ebacked Stars69c20.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1707…ba72backed Stars73c20.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2c…b94dbacked Stars70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0526…c09bbacked Stars72c19.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65cc…9b0dbacked Stars72c19.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c0…3ee9backed Stars69c16.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df2…aaa6backed Stars69c16.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f9…d965backed Stars70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.711471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd52…37d4backed Stars69c15.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca1f…547fbacked Stars72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ad…17e1backed Stars69c14.92$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c2…2011backed Stars72c14.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1de…18f2backed Stars72c14.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.