TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6720…ffcc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bucks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+212.5%+$31.87
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Spurs vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$42.6
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+194.1%+$33.02
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Jets vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+132.6%+$30.49
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+143.9%+$35.98
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Stars vs. Blackhawksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+42.9%+$15
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+117.4%+$23.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Marlinsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$41.09
Athletics vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Cubs vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Phillies vs. Guardiansbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.