MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bd9e42625ab82370cbfecf2f92005710f88032aa4e5efbe02a347a888f695ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,259,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,347,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,259,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 749 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Nationals | 44c | 943,142$410,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410,855.21 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 56c | 492,525$277,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215,167.95 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Athletics | 57c | 67,816$38,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,160.99 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Athletics | 57c | 60,000$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Athletics | 57c | 54,421$31,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,308.42 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Athletics | 56c | 34,200$19,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,048 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Athletics | 56c | 33,851$18,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,894.46 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Athletics | 57c | 32,000$18,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,860 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Athletics | 56c | 29,000$16,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,759.99 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Athletics | 57c | 28,280$16,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250.38 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Athletics | 57c | 23,371$13,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,049.53 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Athletics | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Athletics | 57c | 17,601$10,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,568.47 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 57c | 14,021$7,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,079.17 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 57c | 14,000$7,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,080 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Nationals | 8c | 11,950$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.64 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Nationals | 43c | 10,003$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 57c | 9,868$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,243.24 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Athletics | 80c | 9,533$7,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.12 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 45c | 9,500$4,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,261 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Athletics | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Nationals | 44c | 8,529$3,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,752.54 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Athletics | 57c | 7,841$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.32 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 56c | 6,378$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Athletics | 63c | 5,842$3,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.12 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ffaabacked Athletics | 59c | 5,461$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Athletics | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Athletics | 58c | 4,744$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.83 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Nationals | 43c | 4,671$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Nationals | 43c | 4,270$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.04 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Athletics | 57c | 4,000$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Nationals | 41c | 4,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 41cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 57c | 3,696$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.16 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 2c | 3,593$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 31c | 3,591$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…bcabbacked Nationals | 45c | 3,145$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Athletics | 55c | 3,143$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c59…b1cebacked Athletics | 54c | 3,143$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Athletics | 56c | 3,137$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.22 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nationals | 43c | 3,092$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.19 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Athletics | 55c | 3,033$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Athletics | 57c | 2,987$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.41 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Nationals | 44c | 2,977$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.84 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nationals | 43c | 2,400$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.93 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 44c | 2,375$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.25 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…d0eebacked Nationals | 44c | 2,249$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nationals | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Athletics | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.4 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Athletics | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.38 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 12c | 1,587$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Athletics | 57c | 1,570$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.87 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Athletics | 58c | 1,529$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.31 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Nationals | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Nationals | 22c | 1,476$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.84 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…fae5backed Athletics | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 43c | 1,380$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Athletics | 57c | 1,349$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.96 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 44c | 1,304$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.76 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Athletics | 57c | 1,294$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.4 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…d436backed Nationals | 44c | 1,241$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…c203backed Nationals | 44c | 1,241$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nationals | 1c | 1,230$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Nationals | 41c | 1,222$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.02 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Athletics | 55c | 1,219$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.62 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Nationals | 44c | 1,215$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.61 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Athletics | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Athletics | 55c | 1,200$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.97 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Nationals | 33c | 1,182$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.29 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x105a…20e8backed Athletics | 57c | 1,162$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Athletics | 57c | 1,131$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.29 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Nationals | 44c | 1,089$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.34 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 45c | 1,056$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.47 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 44c | 1,055$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.2 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…df66backed Athletics | 56c | 1,053$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Nationals | 44c | 916.7$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.35 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…add1backed Nationals | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a2…d77ebacked Nationals | 44c | 894$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Nationals | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Nationals | 44c | 800$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 3c | 736.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 44c | 733.24$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.63 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Nationals | 44c | 717$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.48 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Athletics | 62c | 682.92$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.92 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 44c | 673$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.12 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals | 42c | 606.97$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.93 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 56c | 578.57$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.57 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Nationals | 42c | 542.04$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.66 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…1be9backed Athletics | 59c | 527.59$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Athletics | 57c | 516.02$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.89 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Athletics | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Athletics | 80c | 497.63$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Athletics | 74c | 471.95$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Nationals | 19c | 457.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Athletics | 55c | 409$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.05 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…411cbacked Nationals | 20c | 404.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Athletics | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 44c | 391.57$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.29 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Athletics | 56c | 371$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.