TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Pistons64c13,298$8,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,823.2215056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pacers1c8,443$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.081,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3483…cdabbacked Pacers25c7,969$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.71060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Pacers33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6503727%10 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pacers51c3,662$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.1370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons35c2,498$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.921,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Pistons51c2,447$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.836563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8df…32b4backed Pacers25c2,250$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.493154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f09…02b6backed Pacers49c2,083$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.61450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pacers53c2,066$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.6761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pacers68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.9737954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4714…a983backed Pistons50c1,950$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb55f…6fd1backed Pacers50c1,935$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pistons34c1,741$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.9859646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons34c1,684$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.731,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Pistons37c1,400$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.6523548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Pacers1c1,201$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.016426.6%17 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pacers50c1,186$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.1729043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b0…69c8backed Pacers65c1,023$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6652060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pacers65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34e…895ebacked Pistons33c999.97$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.982924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bb5…f2a5backed Pistons35c995.37$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.741643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Pacers63c993.03$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.6119642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons57c897.82$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.7349849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons58c867.37$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.3565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Pistons28c767.27$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.4318345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pistons31c718.68$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.8785347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pistons32c665.4$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.3817244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a536backed Pistons32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4255933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6011…1cc5backed Pacers67c608$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.361931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b39…eeaabacked Pacers49c599.98$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.991926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc8…951abacked Pacers66c575.73$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.981353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers65c570$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.2777745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17c…e8c3backed Pacers65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pacers65c499.97$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9829148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Pistons37c456.76$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.764341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Pacers68c426.92$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.3116242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaafb…3027backed Pacers49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdd9…ad08backed Pacers67c387$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.291136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Pistons41c313.17$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.069052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Pacers66c306.21$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.14656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eff…223cbacked Pacers44c299.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-74.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Pacers69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20084957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7789…6f26backed Pacers18c284.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…dea4backed Pistons32c281.25$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pistons36c277.4$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8627735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pacers40c250$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.751,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers69c249.97$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.736,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons31c236.79$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.381,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Pacers11c231.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Pacers69c222$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1820245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…979abacked Pistons54c203.77$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.772176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Pacers33c200$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6548137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Pacers63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12611143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd52c…4125backed Pistons66c198.37$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.451435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Pistons32c197.42$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7250047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Pistons55c190$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.523956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Pistons69c188.41$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.413259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons67c182.7$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.421,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Pacers66c181.82$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Pacers63c169.54$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.818561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa32b…e132backed Pistons31c165.2$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.811035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Pacers31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Pistons31c161.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2710051%51 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d5b…6be4backed Pistons71c159.33$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.33650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pistons31c157.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1272341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x930c…f632backed Pacers66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002450%12 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Pacers66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010945.9%50 W · 59 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x778a…1a6dbacked Pistons52c150.39$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.462152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Pacers70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10525651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfc5…817ebacked Pacers69c150$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.54763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Pacers67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c7b…a592backed Pacers69c146$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.746360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Pistons34c145.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.819431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pacers70c142.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Pistons31c138.34$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7845251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a0…ed74backed Pistons73c136.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.373773%27 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons39c134.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…5038backed Pacers12c120.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9524751.8%128 W · 119 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Pacers35c120.68$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7911235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Pacers67c120$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.412752%66 W · 61 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea55…2b03backed Pacers67c112.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.481553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x452d…39fdbacked Pacers28c110.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.921435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Pacers64c110$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.26768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Pistons37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1110441.3%43 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c2a…1e46backed Pistons37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.113336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe38…1f16backed Pistons33c107.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.484126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ca…3effbacked Pacers71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Pistons32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6835734.5%123 W · 234 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Pacers73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7311952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9116…7399backed Pistons72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Pacers19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1940952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed Pacers66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6615942.8%68 W · 91 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Pistons37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x872b…a82ebacked Pistons32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Pacers66c99.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9920233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pistons33c97.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5865218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69eb…1d77backed Pacers65c87.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712064.2%77 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0319…ee14backed Pacers65c84.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511763.2%74 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Pistons30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.332138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.