TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Sabres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Canadiens, Sabres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa64…7643backed Sabres58c67,321$39,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,046.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32d4…bdfebacked Canadiens42c67,321$28,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,046.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Sabres60c9,753$5,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,840.4821652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb58…91debacked Sabres58c6,000$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,480333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Canadiens40c5,754$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,452.6422842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc9b…4cc5backed Canadiens42c4,899$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,841.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+147.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9e6…a47abacked Canadiens42c3,057$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens40c2,653$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.4370249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Canadiens40c2,113$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.2932331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac2…7a0ebacked Canadiens42c2,081$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7678…102ebacked Canadiens42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1602360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed Sabres58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1601442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa154…747abacked Sabres58c1,779$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3091…dafdbacked Sabres58c1,723$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8661…1e06backed Sabres58c1,637$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens41c1,630$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.81,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres57c1,518$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.5392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Sabres58c1,170$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.620147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x242c…c63fbacked Canadiens42c1,101$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Canadiens42c995.59$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.724847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sabres34c889.1$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.53,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Canadiens43c813.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.984045%18 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Canadiens42c704.99$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Sabres57c659.97$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.1815663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c3a…0a11backed Sabres58c430.51$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Sabres5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Canadiens51c247.06$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0628542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1f…0227backed Canadiens43c237.07$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.132462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Canadiens43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres52c231.5$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ec…56f4backed Sabres59c226.46$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.612263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x356f…e6cfbacked Canadiens77c218$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.14580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Canadiens40c216$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…be67backed Sabres59c203.63$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.141637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Canadiens42c199.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x85bc…5c35backed Canadiens43c196.53$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.021457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Canadiens42c178.16$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0c…1146backed Sabres58c178$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf6…a3eabacked Canadiens42c178$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb30c…7ab2backed Sabres59c162.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6f…7785backed Canadiens43c119.77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.27650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Canadiens43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sabres57c111.43$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd65e…814ebacked Sabres58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac63…b27bbacked Canadiens43c102.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Canadiens43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5710124.8%25 W · 76 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c19…cd13backed Sabres58c97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.26850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Canadiens42c96.65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0927643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf11…b073backed Sabres58c93.26$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.09757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6673…ff4ebacked Sabres59c90.35$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres19c86.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.831,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafad…e291backed Canadiens43c84.19$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfc…ec79backed Sabres59c82.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.87944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac45…e1cfbacked Canadiens42c82.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.751070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+37.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1850…addebacked Canadiens42c81.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.27944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba4…34e0backed Canadiens43c81.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6072…fb46backed Canadiens42c80.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.675954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Canadiens42c80.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.796050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaec4…9facbacked Canadiens43c79.14$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…b387backed Canadiens44c72.73$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.734141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Canadiens40c71.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7849351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Sabres59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d7…feefbacked Canadiens42c67.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc261…a986backed Sabres58c67.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.05944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens42c61.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.81,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a34…6bccbacked Canadiens42c59.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c07…8e6ebacked Sabres58c59.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Canadiens43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1441954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91a5…eb39backed Canadiens42c57.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.251070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+42.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a3f…3aa3backed Canadiens45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.561163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fe6…de82backed Canadiens42c55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a4…93fcbacked Sabres58c55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.91172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49a0…42bcbacked Canadiens42c55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.91154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6720…ffccbacked Canadiens43c53.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.491080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Sabres57c53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2148149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe4b…7e1abacked Canadiens42c52.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.54837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc27…f2d5backed Sabres58c52.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x794c…628ebacked Sabres58c52.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Sabres76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf934…9f73backed Sabres30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155046%23 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…39a4backed Canadiens43c48.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe456…3be8backed Canadiens42c48.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.031050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021f…a3d7backed Sabres58c48.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6743…8811backed Sabres58c46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.68825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3849…d51ebacked Canadiens42c46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sabres58c44.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0175155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Canadiens45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.446246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe01…8907backed Sabres58c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf396…f850backed Canadiens42c44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.521346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8077…494ebacked Sabres58c43.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.131145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ab…c974backed Sabres58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0532…0b95backed Sabres58c41.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.922326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-47.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8bd0…e726backed Sabres58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b87…9e1dbacked Canadiens42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ee0…f4adbacked Sabres58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c5…e14bbacked Canadiens41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.612744.9%57 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2360…fbcebacked Sabres58c39.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Sabres59c39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0158467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9c6a…0283backed Canadiens42c38.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.33850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc435…cfacbacked Sabres58c38.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.