NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbacdf04bf7f22a670dc4fb408878ec56b76f9934599829455b9371693ba84b8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Spurs, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $320,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 53c | 36,353$19,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,141.19 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Magic | 58c | 26,410$15,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,109.3 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Spurs | 48c | 18,446$8,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,899.25 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 59c | 16,832$9,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,969.61 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Spurs | 46c | 16,074$7,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,390.43 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Spurs | 46c | 11,138$5,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,168.19 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf420…9d4abacked Magic | 38c | 10,164$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 52c | 9,999$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.11 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Magic | 56c | 8,231$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660.7 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Magic | 22c | 7,657$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,957.01 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 70c | 5,238$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,644.14 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 42c | 5,100$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Magic | 56c | 4,620$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.14 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Spurs | 45c | 4,458$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Magic | 58c | 3,865$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.14 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Magic | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Spurs | 43c | 2,971$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 55c | 2,869$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.05 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Spurs | 45c | 2,777$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Spurs | 79c | 2,776$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.44 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 57c | 2,390$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.4 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…d3d1backed Magic | 58c | 2,382$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…40a5backed Spurs | 42c | 2,380$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Spurs | 42c | 2,358$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Spurs | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Magic | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Magic | 54c | 2,042$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Spurs | 39c | 1,894$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.9 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Spurs | 49c | 1,884$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.05 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs | 43c | 1,683$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.83 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Magic | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Spurs | 43c | 1,598$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Spurs | 42c | 1,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Magic | 54c | 1,436$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.97 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 55c | 1,432$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.54 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Spurs | 42c | 1,381$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…e52fbacked Spurs | 45c | 1,348$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Spurs | 43c | 1,347$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.19 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Magic | 56c | 1,327$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.03 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Spurs | 46c | 1,323$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.16 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Magic | 57c | 1,315$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.67 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…c5f7backed Spurs | 79c | 1,300$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs | 44c | 1,232$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.06 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Magic | 58c | 1,149$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.87 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Magic | 56c | 1,125$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Spurs | 44c | 1,119$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.35 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Magic | 58c | 1,118$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.49 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 47c | 1,106$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.32 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Magic | 45c | 1,099$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.03 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Magic | 32c | 1,063$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.6 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Magic | 56c | 1,059$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.14 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Spurs | 42c | 1,010$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.17 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Spurs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Spurs | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Magic | 20c | 1,000$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Spurs | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Spurs | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Magic | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.99 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1905…2c5dbacked Spurs | 80c | 937.88$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Magic | 33c | 918.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.62 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Spurs | 46c | 896.04$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.86 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 41c | 843.15$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.75 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 58c | 771$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.82 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Spurs | 57c | 723.37$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.41 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Spurs | 43c | 700.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Spurs | 44c | 678.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Magic | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 57c | 618.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.83 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 55c | 604.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.89 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Magic | 24c | 604.25$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.68 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Spurs | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Magic | 55c | 578.18$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.43 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…408cbacked Spurs | 51c | 573.33$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…5c15backed Spurs | 76c | 554.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Spurs | 52c | 543.77$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.76 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Spurs | 45c | 520$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.67 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Magic | 57c | 515.91$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Spurs | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…3097backed Spurs | 42c | 495.24$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9a…062fbacked Magic | 59c | 494.92$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Spurs | 74c | 477$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.65 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Magic | 47c | 462.12$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.18 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Magic | 19c | 458.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.59 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Spurs | 46c | 436.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Spurs | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Magic | 54c | 362.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.96 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Magic | 45c | 359.1$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.61 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Magic | 55c | 358$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.39 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs | 47c | 355$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Spurs | 75c | 350$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…cf2cbacked Spurs | 39c | 350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Magic | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Spurs | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Spurs | 49c | 340$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.29 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9af…06bcbacked Spurs | 63c | 333.11$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…149ebacked Magic | 59c | 307.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Spurs | 45c | 299.89$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.