NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef27dff25148763e7bb1315a9e99d288adc2f98c1f4a38fb4429caa1e3c687f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Sabres | 46c | 3,643$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.23 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blues | 55c | 3,153$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.09 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres | 60c | 1,691$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.97 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Blues | 39c | 1,250$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blues | 3c | 897.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sabres | 47c | 499.94$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.97 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Blues | 30c | 493.33$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Sabres | 61c | 428.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Sabres | 59c | 408.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.33 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Blues | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Sabres | 60c | 380.4$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.41 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Blues | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Blues | 54c | 362.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blues | 47c | 300$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Sabres | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Blues | 52c | 299.97$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.98 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blues | 8c | 275.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Blues | 57c | 264.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…54d7backed Sabres | 47c | 261.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Blues | 39c | 258.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 46c | 250.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blues | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Blues | 53c | 201.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 65c | 200.96$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Sabres | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blues | 53c | 193.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Sabres | 48c | 188.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fa…5ed9backed Sabres | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…8964backed Blues | 53c | 124.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Blues | 24c | 112$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Blues | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Sabres | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Blues | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Sabres | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Blues | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…66d0backed Blues | 54c | 87.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blues | 20c | 85.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Blues | 20c | 79.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Blues | 53c | 70.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Sabres | 68c | 64.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres | 70c | 50.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0544…763bbacked Blues | 53c | 45.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blues | 53c | 44.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…b3bbbacked Sabres | 48c | 40.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Blues | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…3043backed Sabres | 47c | 39.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Blues | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sabres | 46c | 37.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d6…7d46backed Sabres | 47c | 36.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…828dbacked Sabres | 47c | 36.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…4795backed Blues | 53c | 34.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8d…1b4ebacked Blues | 49c | 33.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…cbf5backed Sabres | 51c | 33.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d5…f28abacked Sabres | 47c | 33.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ae…2ccabacked Blues | 53c | 33.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…40a4backed Blues | 53c | 31.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf016…52babacked Sabres | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…afc8backed Blues | 53c | 30.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf196…00fbbacked Blues | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…20f4backed Sabres | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba1…597fbacked Blues | 53c | 25.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b972backed Sabres | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b5…fa96backed Blues | 53c | 24.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…5315backed Sabres | 47c | 23.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…bc53backed Blues | 49c | 23.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…7110backed Sabres | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…7a78backed Sabres | 47c | 21.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb60c…cc94backed Blues | 53c | 21.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…0657backed Blues | 53c | 21.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…9e74backed Sabres | 70c | 21.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…465cbacked Blues | 53c | 21.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x909f…9bdcbacked Blues | 53c | 20.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2c…b94dbacked Blues | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.