NFL · resolved market

Jets vs. Bills

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f18896851d6fabcaacbf03d8e6b3a04cf07a809ece78a1d86cd59c84cf6f9f2

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Billsof Jets, Bills
Resolved: Dec 29, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $934,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,034,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $934,948 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb35b…fc08backed Jets	14c	143,758$20,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,693.9	178	23%41 W · 137 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Jets	16c	74,999$12,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,999.91	165	45.5%75 W · 90 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Jets	16c	64,999$10,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,399.9	251	37.5%94 W · 157 L	-18.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Jets	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	78	33.3%26 W · 52 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets	13c	36,447$4,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,623.28	600	49.3%296 W · 304 L	+21.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jets	16c	31,021$4,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,938.19	442	46.8%207 W · 235 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Jets	15c	30,353$4,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,406.29	212	51.9%110 W · 102 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed Jets	17c	26,202$4,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,559.56	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-22%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Jets	17c	26,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,399.98	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe330…1674backed Jets	5c	20,348$1,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.72	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Jets	18c	13,937$2,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,565	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Jets	17c	11,767$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.46	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jets	17c	11,247$1,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,911.13	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1fa…53a6backed Jets	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Jets	16c	10,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.99	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Jets	16c	8,017$1,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,282.71	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-3.9wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jets	14c	7,168$1,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016.58	226	38.9%88 W · 138 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Jets	18c	5,294$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.42	97	32%31 W · 66 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Jets	17c	5,000$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870	362	46.7%169 W · 193 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Jets	10c	4,737$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.3	82	18.3%15 W · 67 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Jets	9c	4,290$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.42	228	38.6%88 W · 140 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Jets	10c	4,158$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.78	76	27.6%21 W · 55 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Jets	17c	4,024$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684	111	39.6%44 W · 67 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Jets	14c	4,005$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.79	140	22.9%32 W · 108 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Jets	17c	3,666$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.54	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Jets	16c	3,139$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.76	54	24.1%13 W · 41 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Jets	12c	2,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Jets	17c	2,430$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.93	247	38.1%94 W · 153 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jets	17c	2,363$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.28	195	43.6%85 W · 110 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x217b…0dc0backed Jets	17c	2,353$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Jets	17c	2,264$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.82	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Jets	11c	2,226$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.08	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	-70%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66f3…5c67backed Jets	17c	2,124$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Bills	80c	2,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	243	51.4%125 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Jets	17c	1,942$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.61	107	38.3%41 W · 66 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Jets	14c	1,653$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.94	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+5.0wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets	2c	1,643$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.52	431	1.6%7 W · 424 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jets	17c	1,456$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	206	34.5%71 W · 135 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Jets	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Jets	19c	979$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.2	117	38.5%45 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf59f…3be9backed Jets	10c	890.11$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.01	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ef…55d4backed Jets	3c	877.7$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe195…4b0ebacked Jets	16c	700$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Jets	16c	664.8$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.37	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Jets	17c	600$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	157	22.3%35 W · 122 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Jets	7c	583.43$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.84	139	42.4%59 W · 80 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Jets	20c	516.15$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.43	172	48.3%83 W · 89 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+41%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jets	10c	515.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.48	528	28.6%151 W · 377 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa7…5455backed Jets	20c	501$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…c367backed Jets	17c	500.59$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.1	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jets	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	130	40%52 W · 78 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Jets	18c	475.17$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.06	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Jets	16c	469$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.04	155	56.8%88 W · 67 L	+13.4wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ee…45bbbacked Jets	15c	455.2$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.28	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2041…977fbacked Jets	16c	400$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cde…038abacked Jets	17c	400$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4eb…1028backed Jets	17c	400$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Jets	18c	400$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	109	37.6%41 W · 68 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+52%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Jets	16c	400$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Jets	17c	352.94$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f8…c545backed Jets	17c	348.24$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48a9…c481backed Jets	16c	330.31$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.68	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jets	17c	283.45$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.19	397	54.4%216 W · 181 L	+26.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Jets	10c	279.9$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.99	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Jets	17c	255$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.73	108	42.6%46 W · 62 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Jets	17c	250.62$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.61	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Jets	16c	234$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.44	176	56.3%99 W · 77 L	+16.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7399…1e41backed Jets	16c	230$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Jets	18c	221.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.07	207	36.2%75 W · 132 L	-13.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Jets	18c	213.07$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.89	154	53.9%83 W · 71 L	+10.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jets	15c	208.02$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.83	240	54.6%131 W · 109 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e42…f833backed Jets	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jets	17c	190.36$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.04	318	54.7%174 W · 144 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Jets	17c	173.29$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.46	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Jets	10c	153$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	284	33.1%94 W · 190 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb54e…8f34backed Jets	13c	148.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75c1…fc78backed Jets	20c	132.66$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.53	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Jets	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1db…b3c6backed Jets	20c	117.34$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.47	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4ae…36ddbacked Jets	18c	112.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae4…4f84backed Jets	16c	111.65$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Jets	14c	109.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.08	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Jets	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	162	26.5%43 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Jets	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+77.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7701…24e6backed Jets	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	168	45.8%77 W · 91 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff3…2969backed Jets	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Jets	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	151	45.7%69 W · 82 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Jets	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	263	31.6%83 W · 180 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24c…ecd0backed Jets	17c	97.29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked Jets	16c	95.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.21	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82cf…e0d1backed Jets	19c	79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.01	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe2…c689backed Jets	16c	77.01$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe04c…d77bbacked Jets	16c	67.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…9371backed Jets	20c	56.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.03	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0881…35c6backed Bills	80c	22.32$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.46	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aaf…3cf7backed Bills	80c	21.27$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.25	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	74cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Bills	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe065…d25fbacked Bills	80c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe089…6b6bbacked Bills	80c	13.28$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.66	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jets vs. Bills

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market