College Football · resolved market
Louisiana Tech vs. Army
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c381e9908e8a2baebfda0d40e6eef507971cc3d0bfcb84ba78dae6480b65398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Armyof Louisiana Tech, Army
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdde1…5203backed Louisiana Tech | 0c | 9,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Louisiana Tech | 15c | 6,632$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.05 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Louisiana Tech | 5c | 4,122$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Louisiana Tech | 14c | 2,665$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.53 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Louisiana Tech | 1c | 2,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Louisiana Tech | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Louisiana Tech | 10c | 1,894$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Louisiana Tech | 1c | 1,718$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Louisiana Tech | 12c | 773.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Louisiana Tech | 14c | 632.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Louisiana Tech | 10c | 627.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Louisiana Tech | 2c | 560.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Louisiana Tech | 16c | 399.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…2629backed Louisiana Tech | 13c | 388.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed Louisiana Tech | 17c | 354.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Louisiana Tech | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Louisiana Tech | 12c | 249.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Louisiana Tech | 14c | 231.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2c…b94dbacked Louisiana Tech | 14c | 199.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Louisiana Tech | 12c | 194.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Louisiana Tech | 12c | 191.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Louisiana Tech | 12c | 154.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0a…8f8abacked Louisiana Tech | 21c | 118.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Louisiana Tech | 16c | 107.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c0…05b5backed Louisiana Tech | 16c | 101.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Louisiana Tech | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…36ddbacked Louisiana Tech | 16c | 95.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Army | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf852…405dbacked Louisiana Tech | 15c | 78.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…1e41backed Louisiana Tech | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Army | 60c | 34.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Army | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.