Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfff12d27721bf0cfa5e740d0bed66a704bc3e23eb4d9de03f11900e2045d3eb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 32c | 4,500$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 68c | 4,288$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.08 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 67c | 4,122$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.24 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 6c | 2,670$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 33c | 2,172$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.94 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 69c | 1,620$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.21 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,501$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 67c | 1,466$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.94 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,423$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.23 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 30c | 1,111$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 31c | 1,067$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Yes | 33c | 969.61$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 33c | 731.27$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.32 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 68c | 606.84$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.19 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 24c | 552.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 532.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 68c | 498.59$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.75 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321a…b052backed No | 67c | 440.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…5c09backed No | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 69c | 329.93$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…a9b3backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 73c | 306.24$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1625…dfc0backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 69c | 250$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 28c | 192.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…fec6backed Yes | 33c | 184.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 30c | 152$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 68c | 131.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 23c | 130.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…36ddbacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…647dbacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 31c | 124.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 68c | 118$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 17c | 115.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…5fb4backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 68c | 90.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 68c | 88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 68c | 88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d31…1d0bbacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 17c | 71.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…4e44backed No | 68c | 70.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 30c | 67.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…631abacked No | 68c | 60.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4246…100dbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 67c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 68c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fd0backed No | 68c | 52.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…04e1backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…9147backed Yes | 32c | 48.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…36c6backed Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed No | 70c | 28.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…0a71backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-29?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Fulham win on 2024-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.