TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham win on 2024-12-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes28c5,106$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes40c5,001$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.3268026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No76c4,402$3,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.4411657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed No59c3,427$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3912330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid+379.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No60c1,919$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.4629643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No60c1,530$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.754852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1394…e426backed Yes44c1,400$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.871650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No59c1,375$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No58c1,333$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.0716660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed No65c1,249$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.15644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Yes41c1,168$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4791741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed No60c1,167$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.67837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+66%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf0f…7305backed Yes41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf892…9769backed No59c999.99$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes57c825.88$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.5369772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5240…1cd9backed Yes41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb756…8103backed No60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes80c752.08$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002450%12 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7174…d302backed No59c659.26$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes40c421.73$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9237841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes63c414.27$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.994339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes32c342.45$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No59c326.64$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.925453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No28c280.85$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4437652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes64c250.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb037…7258backed Yes43c236.56$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed No43c233.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.272941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6d…f360backed Yes71c200$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No58c197.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.356158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes41c195.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb33…ef60backed Yes41c177.21$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008e…5747backed Yes41c167.13$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.86520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4782…6435backed Yes42c166.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702010%2 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No58c151$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9960557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked No41c143.33$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.334332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae59…761fbacked Yes44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c7d…96a1backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502030%6 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a3e…271dbacked No63c107.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.68540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4fc…8dc7backed No63c105.33$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes40c100.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4142755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc2…5cc6backed Yes41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6350…48c2backed No60c97.55$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No17c93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1936954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No29c92.46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4427454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad01…0400backed Yes28c92.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.761369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+93.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x89b1…857ebacked Yes44c91.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4070%0 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes40c91.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.526247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae6…01febacked Yes65c87.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes41c73.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0325329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes37c72.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1540254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed No47c72.25$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.042560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafea…bd12backed No63c71.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No59c69.62$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.277967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecc4…9fc3backed Yes17c69.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked No58c66.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.096253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2625…3b19backed Yes38c66.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes33c66.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63d4…e229backed No63c65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.05666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb4…9653backed Yes78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes35c54.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3add…11b5backed Yes25c53.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.283122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No59c51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9146660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No59c51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9136259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x907d…019fbacked No61c50.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49f…b920backed No61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.59949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f4…6363backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7f…d498backed No37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.55429.6%16 W · 38 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes41c49.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.242152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c31…5f1bbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd21c…c59bbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No58c47.62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2014854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Yes73c46.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.93148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cd0…f582backed Yes65c46.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ed…894ebacked Yes39c45.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb8d…1b4ebacked No57c41.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b23…4c7bbacked Yes42c41.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes42c40.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0225339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c99…f3cbbacked Yes38c40.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x641b…29f5backed No62c40.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.47241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf34…6a50backed No61c38.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x215e…3ebcbacked Yes39c38.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd1…eb73backed No61c38.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc2…0ce1backed Yes41c38.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf7…9694backed Yes42c37.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b31…9d8cbacked Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb189…35ebbacked Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e69…47a3backed No60c35.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d57…3bd3backed Yes42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb27…20dfbacked No60c35.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.281040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-42%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes40c35.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-48.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a15…8bb4backed Yes38c35.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba64…3808backed No42c35.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.442646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.