Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63c65dce21e0ee82be230b82b57282ce4f6bf0922d6dc54352286492de688d66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Yes | 47c | 5,104$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.38 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 8c | 3,830$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.47 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 37c | 1,615$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.92 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 27c | 1,368$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.45 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d9…4e26backed No | 73c | 680$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…2e15backed Yes | 28c | 676.77$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +255.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 27c | 664.72$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.72 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 73c | 608.14$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.94 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 71c | 511.72$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.32 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 499.97$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.98 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 57c | 416.19$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.96 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 71c | 372.57$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.56 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked Yes | 28c | 359.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.19 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 72c | 336.76$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Yes | 57c | 299.52$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7976…528abacked Yes | 80c | 280.2$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 29c | 258.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.62 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 51c | 225.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…7f3cbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd09…4198backed Yes | 29c | 181.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.02 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +150%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed No | 50c | 158.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 29c | 124.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed No | 73c | 119.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…cad0backed Yes | 48c | 114.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6448…423dbacked No | 74c | 110.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…b04abacked Yes | 27c | 110.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Yes | 28c | 109.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…a9a4backed Yes | 33c | 99.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 31c | 93.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked No | 49c | 91.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 39c | 83.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…0400backed Yes | 17c | 79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x116b…3d32backed Yes | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…70f0backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 73c | 75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 72c | 72.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…30c4backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed No | 72c | 50.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…5321backed Yes | 59c | 49.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Yes | 80c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 25c | 44.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc61b…4049backed Yes | 28c | 43.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b85…a96cbacked Yes | 49c | 34.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 35c | 31.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 48c | 27.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…cefebacked No | 73c | 24.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae6…01febacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…2f1dbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c1…bd9abacked No | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b23…7c56backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-29?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2024-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.