NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Wizards

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0a83e8dea222387f66f5e03ebf4bf49cbdd2f9810718560dd52ca997f4149b8

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Knicksof Knicks, Wizards
Resolved: Dec 30, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $381,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $411,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,827 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2317…c891backed Wizards	15c	147,418$22,609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,609.19	118	42.4%50 W · 68 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Wizards	0c	31,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Wizards	17c	16,500$2,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,840	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	16c	12,558$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,039.62	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Knicks	79c	7,500$5,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,574.99	298	58.7%175 W · 123 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Wizards	15c	5,200$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.95	461	31%143 W · 318 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wizards	15c	3,989$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.77	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Wizards	16c	3,606$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e17…9e86backed Wizards	17c	2,507$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards	1c	2,300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Wizards	11c	2,275$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.55	171	41.5%71 W · 100 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16c4…fd3fbacked Wizards	1c	1,900$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards	20c	1,844$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.39	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6b…14adbacked Wizards	17c	1,618$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e16…ce1ebacked Wizards	19c	1,559$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.3	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	45cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards	14c	1,400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.99	723	41.2%298 W · 425 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb8…c405backed Wizards	9c	1,357$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.58	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Wizards	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	381	32.8%125 W · 256 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe23…ea54backed Wizards	15c	1,220$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.99	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Wizards	1c	1,100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Wizards	1c	1,088$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	398	43.5%173 W · 225 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Wizards	19c	1,022$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.96	451	35%158 W · 293 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2c…844abacked Wizards	13c	1,018$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.28	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards	15c	1,016$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.44	1,090	35.8%390 W · 700 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Wizards	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	163	41.1%67 W · 96 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Wizards	19c	942.05$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178	380	27.1%103 W · 277 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8451…a27dbacked Wizards	13c	906.8$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.88	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Wizards	23c	875$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.84	256	51.6%132 W · 124 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Wizards	24c	825.78$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.86	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Wizards	1c	800$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	136	11.8%16 W · 120 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Knicks	80c	760.1$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155	169	19.5%33 W · 136 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a44…c00cbacked Wizards	17c	709.65$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99ec…388ebacked Wizards	19c	706.1$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.63	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96c0…6fa6backed Wizards	17c	699.88$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Wizards	20c	693.96$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	303	31.4%95 W · 208 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Wizards	13c	653.98$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.02	110	19.1%21 W · 89 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc206…e084backed Wizards	16c	599.99$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x080a…8b56backed Wizards	17c	582.55$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.87	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+5.6wins	+0.13per pick	31cpaid	+26%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x48d3…5d66backed Wizards	8c	559.48$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.78	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Wizards	17c	558.36$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.91	224	30.8%69 W · 155 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Wizards	21c	527$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.67	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Wizards	6c	516$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.83	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Wizards	10c	501.26$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.13	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1edd…f21ebacked Wizards	12c	499.89$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Wizards	16c	498.13$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.7	481	37.2%179 W · 302 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…a22dbacked Wizards	16c	495.7$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.31	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ae…302abacked Wizards	18c	480.65$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.53	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Wizards	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb61…30b5backed Wizards	17c	470.59$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	65cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xffb8…646dbacked Wizards	15c	451.48$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.68	107	20.6%22 W · 85 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01f9…699dbacked Wizards	24c	418$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Wizards	17c	410.03$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.7	291	48.8%142 W · 149 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Wizards	18c	333.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a5…be5cbacked Wizards	16c	327.81$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.45	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+86%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61e…f76ebacked Wizards	13c	326.41$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.43	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe8…fcabbacked Wizards	22c	315.72$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+4.1wins	+0.29per pick	35cpaid	+62.2%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa88f…208fbacked Wizards	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55de…aed6backed Wizards	21c	310.38$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a72…3c27backed Knicks	79c	310.38$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.18	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e0…8412backed Wizards	16c	300.01$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.99	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21fa…42b9backed Wizards	15c	281.79$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.27	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Wizards	10c	273.47$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.98	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa713…b53dbacked Knicks	80c	267.41$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	78cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48e…8f7dbacked Wizards	17c	239.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd16e…cc30backed Wizards	13c	237.22$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.84	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f26…adacbacked Wizards	22c	206.77$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.49	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	29cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00c5…a51dbacked Wizards	17c	201.18$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd45…63bfbacked Wizards	16c	199.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f30…1379backed Wizards	16c	190$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Wizards	19c	179.93$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	657	26%171 W · 486 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50c5…d103backed Wizards	19c	178.46$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.91	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks	77c	166.06$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.19	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae5d…3553backed Wizards	16c	161.81$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.89	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-3.3wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fde…c8d3backed Wizards	13c	158.11$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.55	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	42cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Wizards	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Wizards	18c	155.56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8047…54f4backed Wizards	13c	150$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Wizards	17c	149.24$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	501	44.7%224 W · 277 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf01…02bcbacked Wizards	13c	144.51$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e73…30b3backed Wizards	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4ae…36ddbacked Wizards	19c	130.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Wizards	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	852	48.9%417 W · 435 L	+26.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x884a…4589backed Wizards	17c	119.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Knicks	77c	118.12$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.17	350	46%161 W · 189 L	+14.3wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2524…1261backed Wizards	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Knicks	79c	106.99$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.47	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Wizards	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf2…2d23backed Wizards	14c	100.79$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Knicks	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	306	48.7%149 W · 157 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	686	42.1%289 W · 397 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Knicks	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	54	68.5%37 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0d…0048backed Wizards	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x271e…bf4ebacked Wizards	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Wizards	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	930	41.9%390 W · 540 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Knicks	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	351	65.2%229 W · 122 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Knicks	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	296	61.5%182 W · 114 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd72b…b4f5backed Wizards	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Wizards	25c	99.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	367	47.7%175 W · 192 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x278b…767cbacked Wizards	16c	99.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4c…b823backed Wizards	20c	95.91$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.18	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.34per pick	41cpaid	+62.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Knicks vs. Wizards

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market