TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Senators, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c57…5b16backed Senators39c1,735$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.911,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Senators1c1,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea27…8a0bbacked Jets71c550.3$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.245347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets61c500$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.81,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets62c500$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1911,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Jets71c410.1$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0813655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Jets42c392$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2287532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Jets38c299.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1863141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Senators10c290.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4891334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Senators39c254.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.772444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Senators66c249.73$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.031,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Senators59c239.17$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8131334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Jets60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8050049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Senators39c199.95$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.984440.9%18 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jets60c199.31$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3435545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Jets42c180.43$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.431844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Jets60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6738040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Senators61c164.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Jets58c159.59$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0331849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Jets63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7315456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators51c158.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.253,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Jets63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Jets25c150$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.52733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Jets59c125$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Senators39c120.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Jets62c113.61$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.616959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Jets59c111$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5119150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Jets47c106.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.468633.7%29 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Jets63c102.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.513953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacd0…e030backed Senators40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Senators39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa64…9f30backed Jets59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Jets61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad4…cab8backed Jets59c76.68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6817…882fbacked Jets59c75.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7297…2119backed Senators43c69.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ada…0639backed Senators40c61.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf778…8207backed Jets61c60.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2713…bde7backed Senators39c57.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0db…3f55backed Jets60c56.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7c…b217backed Jets57c55.86$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa055…f8a2backed Senators39c55.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde2a…771dbacked Jets63c55.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9642…30a7backed Jets60c55.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.195100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2b1…c0bebacked Senators38c53.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2364…99f4backed Jets60c52.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+136.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba1b…1d5abacked Senators41c52.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4ae…36ddbacked Senators39c50.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Senators65c49.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9113241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Jets62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.399547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Senators42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae9…bd7cbacked Jets63c46.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89e6…cdc9backed Senators39c46.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets59c45.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7654349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd528…c8f5backed Jets57c43.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+61.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd272…089ebacked Senators43c43.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb231…a8a6backed Senators40c43.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d47…29b2backed Senators39c43.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d03…d1dcbacked Jets51c43.06$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd87…130abacked Jets61c42.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1635…f184backed Jets61c41.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.01425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…4346backed Senators42c40.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.09616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-69.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ede…11c4backed Senators40c40.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4b…0063backed Senators40c39.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x687d…498cbacked Jets60c39.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67c9…57a5backed Senators40c39.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2f…d461backed Senators40c39.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.86520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0881…35c6backed Senators40c39.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b67…3f53backed Jets61c39.12$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d34…e087backed Senators39c39.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Senators78c39.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabe6…ef29backed Senators39c38.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0440%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a0f…7a4dbacked Jets61c38.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2551…e61abacked Jets59c38.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf302…d774backed Senators41c38.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2aadbacked Senators40c37.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad83…fa87backed Senators40c37.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fc2…d0a1backed Senators38c37.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…b860backed Senators38c37.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57db…360bbacked Jets59c36.35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.91580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b91…ba7ebacked Senators39c36.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc6…646cbacked Jets57c35.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0988…e7febacked Senators40c35.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ef…258bbacked Senators40c35.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe726…5c86backed Jets60c35.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30cd…f9f0backed Jets61c35.17$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.733828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…dba7backed Senators40c35.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Jets61c35.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.76137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94da…7801backed Jets62c35.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e7…20d0backed Senators49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ad…0c95backed Jets60c34.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325a…4a16backed Senators40c34.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…ff65backed Senators40c34.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec1…70e0backed Jets62c34.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae0…1e00backed Jets61c34.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9feb…b3bbbacked Senators38c33.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a0…c933backed Senators39c33.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd7f…9ad5backed Jets59c33.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…778abacked Jets60c33.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators37c33.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.481,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.