College Football · resolved market
Texas Tech vs. Arkansas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8c363c071647e055f90061aca8afee4952ee9044e98b100a753a2a04d363e08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansasof Texas Tech, Arkansas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Texas Tech | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texas Tech | 37c | 18,956$6,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,956.99 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Arkansas | 69c | 17,239$11,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,425.52 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Texas Tech | 25c | 13,913$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,516.99 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Arkansas | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Arkansas | 62c | 6,728$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.64 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Arkansas | 74c | 5,745$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.61 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Arkansas | 75c | 4,500$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Arkansas | 66c | 4,296$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Texas Tech | 60c | 4,165$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Texas Tech | 16c | 3,679$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.64 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Texas Tech | 16c | 3,165$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Arkansas | 41c | 2,797$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.53 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Texas Tech | 2c | 2,277$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Texas Tech | 1c | 2,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Arkansas | 41c | 1,874$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Texas Tech | 59c | 1,485$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.69 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Texas Tech | 52c | 1,462$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.57 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Arkansas | 63c | 1,229$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.97 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Texas Tech | 33c | 1,144$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.55 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Texas Tech | 33c | 1,001$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.55 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Texas Tech | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Texas Tech | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Arkansas | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Arkansas | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Arkansas | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.98 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Texas Tech | 29c | 990.49$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…2ce1backed Arkansas | 71c | 834.59$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Texas Tech | 53c | 798.69$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Arkansas | 56c | 768.21$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.79 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Texas Tech | 28c | 728.63$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Texas Tech | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Texas Tech | 45c | 565.06$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.77 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Texas Tech | 10c | 550$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Texas Tech | 36c | 546.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…35ebbacked Texas Tech | 15c | 454.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Texas Tech | 6c | 449.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Texas Tech | 57c | 438.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Arkansas | 43c | 429.93$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.06 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Arkansas | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Arkansas | 40c | 409.51$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Arkansas | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Texas Tech | 54c | 393.46$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.32 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Arkansas | 56c | 386.3$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Arkansas | 63c | 369.05$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.86 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Texas Tech | 44c | 352.46$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Texas Tech | 58c | 336.24$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Texas Tech | 61c | 329.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Texas Tech | 29c | 320.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Texas Tech | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Arkansas | 62c | 250.47$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Texas Tech | 31c | 238.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Texas Tech | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…2aa6backed Arkansas | 48c | 214.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…f2e1backed Arkansas | 48c | 214.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0a…8fffbacked Texas Tech | 54c | 214.58$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…389fbacked Texas Tech | 54c | 214.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f40…da68backed Arkansas | 47c | 213.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…2cb4backed Texas Tech | 53c | 213.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…3fe4backed Arkansas | 48c | 212.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…16cdbacked Texas Tech | 54c | 212.41$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…860fbacked Texas Tech | 54c | 210.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…41fcbacked Arkansas | 48c | 210.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…fb2dbacked Arkansas | 48c | 209.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc068…fd0ebacked Texas Tech | 54c | 209.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb69…69d6backed Texas Tech | 47c | 207.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Texas Tech | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511e…c7b5backed Arkansas | 47c | 189.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…a6a4backed Texas Tech | 53c | 189.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Texas Tech | 49c | 170.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…ce43backed Arkansas | 44c | 167$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e73…30b3backed Texas Tech | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Texas Tech | 47c | 156.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…42b9backed Arkansas | 47c | 151.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f7…fba6backed Texas Tech | 53c | 151.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Arkansas | 47c | 145.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Arkansas | 66c | 129.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Texas Tech | 60c | 128.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Arkansas | 40c | 124.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…beeabacked Arkansas | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…6aa3backed Arkansas | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Texas Tech | 52c | 111$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Texas Tech | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Arkansas | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Arkansas | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Arkansas | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Arkansas | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…3ba4backed Texas Tech | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…5b30backed Texas Tech | 56c | 92.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Texas Tech | 58c | 91.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7f…9c99backed Texas Tech | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Texas Tech | 46c | 76.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b85…a96cbacked Texas Tech | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Arkansas | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Texas Tech | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8988…c31cbacked Arkansas | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…3265backed Texas Tech | 56c | 68.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…e03ebacked Texas Tech | 48c | 67.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701d…ec82backed Texas Tech | 58c | 62.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Arkansas | 76c | 61.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.