TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Louisiana vs. TCU

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TCUof Louisiana, TCU
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe330…1674backed Louisiana18c8,130$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.94742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick21cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Louisiana4c6,167$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.839847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Louisiana26c5,137$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.0119043.2%82 W · 108 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked TCU74c2,600$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.854146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked TCU77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.43764.9%24 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked TCU75c2,500$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.984839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03f9…f3babacked Louisiana25c2,233$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Louisiana23c2,132$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.015657.1%32 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Louisiana1c1,697$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.242370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Louisiana33c1,665$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.027653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Louisiana1c1,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+100.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed TCU76c1,025$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.854445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed TCU75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25086243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked TCU77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Louisiana23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked TCU54c909.12$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.61650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+73.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Louisiana19c746.9$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7920341.9%85 W · 118 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked TCU74c738.31$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+99%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Louisiana5c700$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.181050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+105.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Louisiana14c649.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9111855.9%66 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Louisiana4c588.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.567414.9%11 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Louisiana24c536.69$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.521250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed TCU77c509.42$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1713548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked TCU77c476.62$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.621752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x080a…8b56backed Louisiana23c431.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+99.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef94…d101backed TCU74c429$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Louisiana22c399.9$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.983363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked TCU77c349.73$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.441154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Louisiana10c292.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12229.1%2 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick32cpaid-73.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Louisiana7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-70.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed TCU76c270.55$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.034055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Louisiana22c268.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4412816.4%21 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Louisiana24c264.33$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Louisiana25c252.39$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.171850%9 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+84%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Louisiana25c241.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacd0…e030backed Louisiana19c236.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.03742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed TCU74c213.4$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.489843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed TCU76c210.21$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.893461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Louisiana8c204.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.393342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf470…62d2backed Louisiana24c204.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.04825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Louisiana23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2041…977fbacked Louisiana22c199.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+154.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed TCU77c199.98$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Louisiana22c199.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.982250%11 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked TCU75c188$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.673647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf016…52babacked Louisiana25c162.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…647dbacked Louisiana25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401250%6 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+59.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed TCU74c125.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.292433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf63c…977fbacked Louisiana22c121.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb54e…8f34backed Louisiana23c117.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Louisiana25c114.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.620757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed TCU75c105.68$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.432454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed TCU78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2218858%109 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e97…b339backed Louisiana22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Louisiana22c99.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ab…28d4backed Louisiana24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292d…2c8dbacked TCU77c81.95$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7399…1e41backed Louisiana23c75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.251735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Louisiana18c74.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.172638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4ae…36ddbacked Louisiana27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked TCU76c72.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.545446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed TCU74c67.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6412857%73 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8472…1955backed TCU77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed TCU77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942060%12 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa165…d7adbacked Louisiana24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4246…100dbacked Louisiana24c61.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb93a…c472backed Louisiana25c61.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Louisiana27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.22040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a42…b555backed Louisiana25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Louisiana23c58.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52326.1%6 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed TCU77c58.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.541681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick73cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd708…f4d3backed TCU77c53.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked TCU77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.954450%22 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4eb…89efbacked Louisiana20c51.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d2…6b91backed TCU76c51.49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked TCU77c50.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7519051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcddd…04e1backed TCU75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…3b1ebacked TCU77c48.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.24450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b8…c972backed Louisiana25c48.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef6f…0c20backed Louisiana50c47.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x816d…2588backed TCU76c47.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked TCU76c47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.442259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b8…6872backed TCU78c46.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+101.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865b…68c2backed TCU75c45.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb7…2752backed TCU76c45.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb793…de55backed Louisiana24c45.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked TCU75c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116869.1%47 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c2…f7dbbacked Louisiana23c44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe917…328bbacked TCU76c41.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7733…b5bcbacked TCU77c39.83$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf54f…407dbacked TCU76c37.71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9997…4548backed TCU76c37.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed TCU56c36.71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.153231.3%10 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+136.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x104e…7285backed TCU77c34.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6a…59b9backed TCU78c32.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd18b…06c7backed TCU78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd59d…dfabbacked TCU76c31.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc55f…48d7backed TCU77c31.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed TCU80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd834…45b6backed TCU76c30.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.