NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd598ac182b06b351e246b5e5160154ce387978b82daccc0f98e39a1ba7890c72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Sharks | 22c | 2,149$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.57 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…d394backed Sharks | 38c | 1,820$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…6254backed Sharks | 38c | 1,598$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Sharks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Flyers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8601…02ccbacked Sharks | 38c | 967$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sharks | 2c | 888$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 37c | 834.96$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.93 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Flyers | 72c | 725.56$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.16 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Sharks | 19c | 631.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Flyers | 66c | 500.33$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.12 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flyers | 62c | 499.98$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.19 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…865ebacked Sharks | 39c | 384.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Sharks | 36c | 343.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Flyers | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks | 40c | 251.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Sharks | 37c | 224.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flyers | 63c | 199.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sharks | 38c | 187.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Flyers | 63c | 159.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Flyers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Flyers | 62c | 137.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Flyers | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Flyers | 60c | 103.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329a…6040backed Sharks | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d29…193bbacked Flyers | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Flyers | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Sharks | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Flyers | 63c | 95.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Flyers | 64c | 78.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2450…1996backed Flyers | 63c | 71.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2faa…f758backed Flyers | 62c | 69.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…580bbacked Sharks | 38c | 66.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1143…b0a6backed Flyers | 62c | 65.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…647dbacked Flyers | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Flyers | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…fbc0backed Flyers | 61c | 53.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ade…43e1backed Flyers | 62c | 53.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Sharks | 38c | 52.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…28b8backed Flyers | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed Sharks | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Sharks | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…39c9backed Flyers | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f08…22c7backed Flyers | 63c | 49.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98dd…b5acbacked Sharks | 38c | 48.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sharks | 21c | 47.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flyers | 61c | 47.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b972backed Flyers | 80c | 46.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad05…958bbacked Flyers | 62c | 45.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1daf…b7c4backed Flyers | 62c | 44.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…ccb6backed Flyers | 60c | 44.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…d1c2backed Sharks | 39c | 43.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…5dedbacked Sharks | 40c | 42.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2607…8af3backed Flyers | 63c | 41.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4963…da6bbacked Sharks | 38c | 40.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…edb0backed Sharks | 39c | 40.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Flyers | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb656…36fdbacked Flyers | 62c | 39.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…ddfdbacked Flyers | 61c | 39.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…7df2backed Sharks | 38c | 38.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x430c…7eaebacked Flyers | 62c | 38.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sharks | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…41c4backed Sharks | 38c | 38.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…3ff6backed Sharks | 38c | 38.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8d…e2bcbacked Flyers | 62c | 38.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…563cbacked Flyers | 60c | 38.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f54…08d7backed Flyers | 62c | 38.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…9ac9backed Flyers | 62c | 37.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…a655backed Sharks | 38c | 37.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1458…137bbacked Flyers | 62c | 37.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…bbd2backed Flyers | 61c | 36.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…1e83backed Sharks | 39c | 36.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…d384backed Sharks | 37c | 36.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…da94backed Sharks | 39c | 36.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…340bbacked Flyers | 62c | 36.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…e91ebacked Sharks | 38c | 36.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…bcccbacked Sharks | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fb…c122backed Flyers | 62c | 35.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…710abacked Flyers | 64c | 35.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264f…5057backed Sharks | 37c | 35.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…3726backed Flyers | 62c | 35.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9261…8f02backed Flyers | 62c | 35.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…4e11backed Sharks | 37c | 35.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…fb38backed Flyers | 62c | 34.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b04…97d3backed Flyers | 62c | 34.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b39…85a1backed Sharks | 38c | 34.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18fc…983dbacked Flyers | 62c | 34.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…d3d5backed Sharks | 37c | 33.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…64e9backed Sharks | 40c | 33.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcf…079dbacked Flyers | 60c | 33.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb83…417fbacked Sharks | 38c | 33.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ff…774bbacked Flyers | 62c | 33.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…3148backed Flyers | 62c | 33.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6616…f0f6backed Sharks | 37c | 33.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…d9bbbacked Sharks | 38c | 32.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f63…3b29backed Flyers | 62c | 32.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…f82bbacked Sharks | 38c | 32.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…682fbacked Flyers | 60c | 32.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb2…1aa3backed Sharks | 40c | 32.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2505…a4f7backed Sharks | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.