MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a5b9a1d665adca8388a77ef734d29c8c73a52853db195e4081b92329b4a68db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Mariners, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $560,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $562,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $560,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Mariners | 48c | 487,868$231,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231,961.2 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 52c | 240,516$126,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,378.2 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Braves | 52c | 73,550$38,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,304 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Braves | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves | 52c | 40,000$20,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,100 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Braves | 53c | 27,777$14,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,155.19 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 53c | 17,398$9,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,175.71 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Mariners | 48c | 14,591$6,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,974.31 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Braves | 55c | 11,200$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 58c | 9,342$5,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,932 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Braves | 52c | 7,500$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners | 46c | 6,666$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.36 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mariners | 45c | 5,975$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.95 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 54c | 4,708$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.12 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Braves | 55c | 4,480$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 56c | 4,297$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.15 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Braves | 55c | 3,759$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.07 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Braves | 53c | 3,300$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Braves | 66c | 3,047$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.59 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves | 54c | 2,614$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.53 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Mariners | 46c | 2,610$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Braves | 54c | 2,315$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.64 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Braves | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Braves | 54c | 1,870$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Mariners | 45c | 1,632$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.4 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Braves | 55c | 1,211$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.18 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Braves | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Braves | 53c | 988.09$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.4 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 45c | 888$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Braves | 52c | 839.42$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.32 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 56c | 807.53$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.65 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mariners | 44c | 799.98$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Braves | 54c | 723$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.58 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Braves | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 54c | 585$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Braves | 54c | 558$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.68 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Braves | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Braves | 53c | 474$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.7 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mariners | 46c | 449.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Braves | 55c | 429.07$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.83 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 4c | 394$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Braves | 62c | 347.96$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.45 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 54c | 345.56$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Braves | 54c | 341.35$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.02 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Mariners | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mariners | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Braves | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Mariners | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…741dbacked Mariners | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Braves | 53c | 282.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Mariners | 44c | 249.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Mariners | 46c | 239.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Braves | 56c | 237.71$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Braves | 55c | 226.34$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 45c | 213.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Mariners | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Mariners | 47c | 205.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Braves | 55c | 203.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Mariners | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Mariners | 45c | 177$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Mariners | 45c | 161.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Braves | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Mariners | 45c | 145.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea95…e876backed Mariners | 47c | 140.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Mariners | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Braves | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Mariners | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x078a…ca98backed Braves | 55c | 109.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Braves | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Braves | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Mariners | 48c | 88.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 192 | 42.2%81 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mariners | 45c | 78.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Braves | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Braves | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 23c | 69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Braves | 55c | 65.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Braves | 54c | 61.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mariners | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Braves | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Braves | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Braves | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Mariners | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 547 | 40.2%220 W · 327 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Mariners | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Mariners | 46c | 41.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 44c | 41.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4f…3d87backed Braves | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Mariners | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mariners | 44c | 37.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…c1a6backed Braves | 55c | 36.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Mariners | 46c | 34.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Mariners | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Mariners | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mariners vs. Bravesthis page
- Mariners vs. Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.