MLB · resolved market

Astros vs. Blue Jays

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08bce5030429c807cacfcd4850abefea66c36e53ffc34e83d6b5dadb151b0e58

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Astrosof Astros, Blue Jays
Resolved: Sep 10, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $857,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $879,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $857,132 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Blue Jays	59c	248,752$147,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147,355.78	380	43.4%165 W · 215 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays	61c	247,730$150,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150,000	286	46.5%133 W · 153 L	-15.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Astros	41c	55,271$22,752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,518.78	1,591	50.3%801 W · 790 L	+68.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros	40c	47,909$19,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,819.94	1,328	51.4%682 W · 646 L	+25.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros	40c	47,583$19,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,549.8	482	54.4%262 W · 220 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Blue Jays	58c	39,217$22,746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,745.87	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Astros	42c	38,000$15,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,040	550	53.6%295 W · 255 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Astros	40c	37,713$15,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,627.8	359	52.4%188 W · 171 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Astros	40c	36,879$14,752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,127.4	96	66.7%64 W · 32 L	+16.4wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Astros	39c	34,000$13,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,700	387	51.9%201 W · 186 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros	61c	29,091$17,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,453.58	1,530	50.5%772 W · 758 L	+20.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Astros	42c	25,856$10,781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,074.39	171	56.1%96 W · 75 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays	56c	23,112$12,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,889.54	418	50%209 W · 209 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Astros	43c	21,850$9,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,454.5	389	49.1%191 W · 198 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Astros	41c	20,000$8,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,799.99	531	50.5%268 W · 263 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Astros	40c	17,500$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,500	254	53.5%136 W · 118 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Astros	49c	15,579$7,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,001.82	2,274	43.2%983 W · 1,291 L	+43.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Astros	40c	15,222$6,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,133.27	260	56.5%147 W · 113 L	+13.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Astros	49c	14,326$7,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,284.19	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Astros	40c	13,388$5,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,032.8	302	55.6%168 W · 134 L	+14.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Astros	42c	10,750$4,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,285.41	784	45.3%355 W · 429 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Astros	65c	10,516$6,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,675.67	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Blue Jays	56c	10,500$5,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,877.18	147	47.6%70 W · 77 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Blue Jays	62c	10,225$6,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,316.78	91	35.2%32 W · 59 L	-12.0wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Astros	43c	10,207$4,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,817.99	163	47.9%78 W · 85 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Astros	40c	10,000$3,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,050	564	51.1%288 W · 276 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Astros	54c	9,993$5,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,582.51	255	51%130 W · 125 L	-10.1wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Blue Jays	56c	9,839$5,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,494.22	335	54%181 W · 154 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays	25c	8,864$2,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,217.96	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Astros	39c	8,049$3,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,869.64	439	49.4%217 W · 222 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros	40c	6,643$2,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,963.75	2,470	52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L	+17.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Astros	40c	6,045$2,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,626.8	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Astros	40c	5,926$2,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,535.69	631	52.6%332 W · 299 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays	35c	5,270$1,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,819.57	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Astros	46c	5,146$2,359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,787.19	207	47.8%99 W · 108 L	-11.6wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Astros	41c	5,022$2,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,963.33	717	51%366 W · 351 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd7…0356backed Astros	42c	5,011$2,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,906.38	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Astros	42c	5,000$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,919.98	168	45.8%77 W · 91 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Astros	39c	4,991$1,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,046.7	692	49%339 W · 353 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Astros	43c	4,018$1,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,290.07	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8613…59f0backed Blue Jays	20c	3,701$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6bc1…4534backed Blue Jays	59c	3,513$2,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,072.67	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bb7…6e92backed Blue Jays	57c	3,335$1,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,909.04	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Astros	41c	3,000$1,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,770	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Astros	41c	2,500$1,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,487.51	932	40.5%377 W · 555 L	+14.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Astros	40c	2,450$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	163	52.1%85 W · 78 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Astros	40c	2,229$892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,337.4	234	55.6%130 W · 104 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Astros	43c	2,107$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,208.56	1,212	52.1%631 W · 581 L	+21.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros	40c	2,100$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,260	733	52.4%384 W · 349 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Astros	43c	2,084$896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,187.72	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays	54c	2,042$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Astros	40c	2,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Astros	42c	1,948$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,129.62	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Blue Jays	54c	1,887$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.06	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Astros	43c	1,869$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.91	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jays	60c	1,800$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	301	51.5%155 W · 146 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Blue Jays	58c	1,750$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	85	62.4%53 W · 32 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Blue Jays	28c	1,668$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.88	150	33.3%50 W · 100 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Astros	43c	1,656$713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$942.92	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Astros	76c	1,546$1,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.13	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Astros	42c	1,500$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875	731	49.4%361 W · 370 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Astros	41c	1,500$615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885	326	51.5%168 W · 158 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Astros	42c	1,393$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.12	119	47.9%57 W · 62 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a00…8734backed Blue Jays	28c	1,388$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.77	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Blue Jays	57c	1,278$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Astros	43c	1,264$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.83	508	43.3%220 W · 288 L	+21.8wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Astros	42c	1,200$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$695.4	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Astros	46c	1,200$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays	56c	1,192$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.75	981	49.8%489 W · 492 L	-12.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Astros	70c	1,152$801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.62	961	33.9%326 W · 635 L	-38.9wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays	47c	1,066$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1,213	40.5%491 W · 722 L	-32.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Astros	71c	1,061$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.5	135	53.3%72 W · 63 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Astros	60c	1,034$616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.6	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f5…ee20backed Astros	50c	1,032$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.37	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Astros	43c	1,000$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570	958	50%479 W · 479 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros	45c	1,000$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	832	48%399 W · 433 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Astros	43c	985$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561.45	124	36.3%45 W · 79 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Astros	43c	972.09$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.09	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-5.2wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Astros	38c	850$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.5	130	52.3%68 W · 62 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Blue Jays	54c	816.33$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.82	312	48.4%151 W · 161 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Astros	43c	737.99$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.66	444	43%191 W · 253 L	+21.1wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays	56c	714$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.84	1,293	46.6%603 W · 690 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros	59c	712$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.1	687	69.6%478 W · 209 L	+60.4wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Astros	43c	697.67$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.67	104	51%53 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Blue Jays	50c	630.3$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.31	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Astros	42c	614.26$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.27	1,097	50.1%550 W · 547 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Astros	39c	600$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366	240	40.8%98 W · 142 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Astros	42c	595.24$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.24	204	55.9%114 W · 90 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Astros	56c	574.45$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.53	764	56%428 W · 336 L	+32.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Astros	39c	535$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.35	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Blue Jays	20c	515$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	131	49.6%65 W · 66 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Astros	43c	509.42$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.37	513	47%241 W · 272 L	+32.0wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Blue Jays	37c	502.03$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	163	40.5%66 W · 97 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Blue Jays	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	-7.4wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Astros	38c	500$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Astros	39c	500$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305	96	51%49 W · 47 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c2…0f74backed Astros	53c	496.23$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.23	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Astros	40c	490$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	1,029	51.2%527 W · 502 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Astros	43c	465.11$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.11	563	51%287 W · 276 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Astros	45c	461.73$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.39	809	55.5%449 W · 360 L	+12.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Astros vs. Blue Jaysthis page
Astros vs. Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
NRFI: Astros vs. Blue JaysYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Astros vs. Blue Jays

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event