NFL · resolved market
Will the New England Patriots win the AFC East?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cdb77f95d4bca2335737ae30d971a86f42657ae10774d446dcf61af941fdcdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 7,744$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 36c | 1,834$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.02 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 77c | 1,811$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.26 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed Yes | 33c | 1,204$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.97 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf961…62bbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,204$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 14c | 1,123$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.6 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 78c | 1,016$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.27 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 57c | 916.95$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.68 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 66c | 872.08$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.81 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 60c | 825$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Yes | 73c | 772.11$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes | 57c | 738.58$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.65 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +98%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 13c | 671.84$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.78 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…9524backed Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 68c | 588$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.37 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…8722backed Yes | 46c | 480.59$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.41 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…1d99backed Yes | 71c | 423.3$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 38c | 405.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.28 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 15c | 358.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.7 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 18c | 354.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.48 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 20c | 229$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd530…d087backed No | 25c | 223$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked No | 19c | 213.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…b2bfbacked No | 26c | 201$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9af…3dbcbacked No | 25c | 173$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…3e30backed No | 26c | 169$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…c728backed No | 27c | 165$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…69fbbacked No | 27c | 163$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…7d41backed Yes | 65c | 153.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 41c | 152.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…4c59backed No | 14c | 129$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…7798backed No | 23c | 127$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe8…2123backed No | 14c | 125$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24d…48d5backed No | 27c | 124$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f9…b64abacked No | 14c | 123$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…c7d6backed Yes | 48c | 121.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…495ebacked No | 27c | 121$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…6242backed No | 14c | 117$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83dc…cd2fbacked No | 26c | 111$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e7…6704backed No | 28c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed Yes | 76c | 102$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e3…2625backed No | 27c | 102$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1e…e461backed No | 25c | 101$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 13c | 101$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…eefebacked No | 14c | 99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…5092backed No | 28c | 97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…836abacked No | 26c | 96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a29…0041backed Yes | 75c | 95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a5…443ebacked No | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…4c02backed Yes | 73c | 93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 27c | 91.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17fd…fc15backed No | 28c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed No | 66c | 90.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 35c | 89.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3430…a63ebacked Yes | 73c | 89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Yes | 56c | 88.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa129…4f52backed Yes | 74c | 88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 17c | 87.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…a4f8backed No | 25c | 86.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…0aa8backed No | 28c | 86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6735…92e0backed Yes | 74c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2028…6a8bbacked No | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9763…e32cbacked No | 14c | 82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…556fbacked No | 26c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ac…4002backed Yes | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f3…b22bbacked No | 27c | 78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…d836backed Yes | 74c | 77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…0bbfbacked No | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b16…e724backed Yes | 73c | 76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e37…0677backed No | 14c | 76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1b90backed Yes | 75c | 74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884f…28b8backed No | 28c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…5f86backed Yes | 75c | 73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…9891backed No | 27c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7570…23c0backed Yes | 74c | 72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…c498backed No | 26c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…ed7fbacked Yes | 75c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…5870backed Yes | 74c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…08fcbacked No | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0031…5e33backed Yes | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…20e9backed Yes | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb73f…d5ccbacked Yes | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b08…2f0fbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e2…e28abacked Yes | 73c | 69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f6d8backed Yes | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf834…59e2backed No | 28c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…d30ebacked No | 26c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…ce16backed No | 60c | 63.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…7f5bbacked No | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…63d0backed No | 27c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a64…9b8cbacked No | 26c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…93cbbacked Yes | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cd…306dbacked No | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ad…8851backed Yes | 46c | 55.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393c…af99backed No | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…59edbacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New England Patriots win the AFC East?this page
- Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win the AFC East?No won
- Will the New York Jets win the AFC East?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.