NFL · resolved market
Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c7a35bcc7eca3f6e7f3ff8a942261958252b316af0ea44f9476912dff7e748
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Yes | 73c | 7,146$5,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.69 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 18c | 4,428$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.54 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,976$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed No | 27c | 3,248$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.17 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Yes | 75c | 1,261$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.05 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9af…497cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,252$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 71c | 938.33$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.23 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…e6b0backed Yes | 74c | 935.75$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…0468backed No | 28c | 930.57$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.11 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 63c | 800.05$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.07 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 26c | 651.41$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.73 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 25c | 585$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed No | 80c | 550.43$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 22c | 483.83$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 42c | 368.09$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.89 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…2b6abacked Yes | 25c | 309$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 68c | 308.47$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 73c | 302.17$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 62c | 300$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.48 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 28c | 299.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.48 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 38c | 260.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 13c | 249$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31f2…4921backed Yes | 17c | 239$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 14c | 223.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Yes | 56c | 196.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…0863backed Yes | 17c | 182$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…1d99backed Yes | 26c | 140.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…8a69backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2896…b55fbacked Yes | 25c | 137$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e64…af6ebacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Yes | 75c | 133.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb6…576cbacked Yes | 15c | 131$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ad87backed Yes | 26c | 129$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 59c | 125$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…5533backed Yes | 74c | 123.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 72c | 121.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6995backed Yes | 25c | 114$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c8…24e8backed Yes | 15c | 108$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…9e6fbacked Yes | 25c | 107$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…d107backed No | 75c | 106$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47d4…d952backed Yes | 28c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…0ae6backed Yes | 71c | 105.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…91ecbacked Yes | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea24…6f90backed No | 75c | 102$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ed…786fbacked No | 75c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…fdcabacked Yes | 60c | 100.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…aeedbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 98.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad79…1a49backed No | 75c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…45e9backed Yes | 25c | 96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd1…4569backed Yes | 28c | 96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…0aa9backed Yes | 26c | 94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…7707backed Yes | 25c | 91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…a99ebacked Yes | 26c | 91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…81e1backed Yes | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…9d08backed Yes | 15c | 81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee2…029cbacked Yes | 25c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 23c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ed…bdd0backed No | 74c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…6690backed Yes | 25c | 79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…7930backed Yes | 15c | 79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd309…339bbacked No | 75c | 78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0b9cbacked Yes | 25c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed Yes | 64c | 74.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…8a25backed Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…851fbacked Yes | 37c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…742dbacked Yes | 25c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…1f87backed No | 75c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0216…056bbacked Yes | 26c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6805…85efbacked Yes | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…eb32backed Yes | 25c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…1cd0backed Yes | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Yes | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…1ffebacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…4a96backed No | 74c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…1d40backed No | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…455fbacked Yes | 17c | 58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…c4bbbacked Yes | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…d8f4backed Yes | 25c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…f466backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…9854backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…6fbebacked No | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c74…02a2backed No | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4289…b244backed Yes | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…f334backed No | 76c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…bd47backed Yes | 60c | 46.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…44cabacked No | 75c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…2ea7backed Yes | 27c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b2…cc77backed No | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…fc8dbacked Yes | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…c363backed No | 73c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?this page
- Will the Miami Dolphins win the AFC East?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win the AFC East?Yes won
- Will the New York Jets win the AFC East?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.