Premier League · resolved market
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x739fe6b07f3c40f4522a9dde61c46cbaaabbdfb0c840a3b512a7a93f8e2afb6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 66c | 25,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 34c | 22,368$7,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,605.06 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 35c | 3,070$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.5 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 38c | 2,594$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.57 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 1,757$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.82 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 65c | 1,095$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.24 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 8c | 741.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 36c | 674.44$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 65c | 560.87$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.09 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 62c | 300$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 34c | 279$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc516…9652backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfd…0516backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 66c | 136.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Yes | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed Yes | 64c | 76.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 36c | 67.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…1754backed Yes | 62c | 45.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.9wins | -0.31per pick | 62cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa84a…fb00backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Coventry City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2025-10-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.