College Football · resolved market
UCLA vs. Indiana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x871ecfa66efa3697691aeb456f76e2484d04e02acceabc0a57e6d37ed45b8dc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indianaof UCLA, Indiana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $905,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,106,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $905,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed UCLA | 7c | 172,764$11,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,303.58 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked UCLA | 7c | 150,215$10,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,516.35 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed UCLA | 7c | 86,210$5,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,994.8 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed UCLA | 6c | 51,658$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.48 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UCLA | 6c | 17,310$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.6 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed UCLA | 6c | 10,287$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…50fbbacked UCLA | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UCLA | 7c | 8,961$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.28 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…b80abacked UCLA | 7c | 6,700$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed UCLA | 5c | 5,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…cae6backed UCLA | 7c | 4,715$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…aad4backed UCLA | 7c | 4,400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked UCLA | 7c | 3,686$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked UCLA | 0c | 3,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed UCLA | 6c | 2,250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…90a6backed UCLA | 7c | 2,140$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UCLA | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed UCLA | 6c | 1,999$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…3a8ebacked UCLA | 9c | 1,894$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…bbccbacked UCLA | 7c | 1,643$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked UCLA | 1c | 1,402$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked UCLA | 6c | 1,400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…0ddbbacked UCLA | 6c | 1,400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UCLA | 6c | 1,329$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed UCLA | 7c | 1,177$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked UCLA | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed UCLA | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed UCLA | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked UCLA | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed UCLA | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked UCLA | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed UCLA | 6c | 783.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed UCLA | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked UCLA | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked UCLA | 7c | 570.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9c…3569backed UCLA | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed UCLA | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked UCLA | 7c | 485.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf168…5725backed UCLA | 22c | 455.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…b90cbacked UCLA | 7c | 444$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked UCLA | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe26…edbdbacked UCLA | 7c | 428.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed UCLA | 7c | 409$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa87…dd7abacked UCLA | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…8445backed UCLA | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked UCLA | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…2372backed UCLA | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked UCLA | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UCLA | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed UCLA | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…ad0fbacked UCLA | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…857abacked UCLA | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed UCLA | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…c04bbacked UCLA | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked UCLA | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…b1e4backed UCLA | 7c | 285$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b85…ab2fbacked UCLA | 6c | 260.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…cabfbacked UCLA | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked UCLA | 7c | 242.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed UCLA | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed UCLA | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked UCLA | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed UCLA | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…a3d9backed UCLA | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Indiana | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCLA vs. Indianathis page
- O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana (-24.5)Indiana won
- Spread: Indiana (-25.5)Indiana won
- Spread: Indiana (-26.5)Indiana won
- UCLA vs. Indiana: O/U 53.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.