College Football · resolved market
Spread: Indiana (-24.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9057013c852dfb541e4a2819ebb3109ded36fdfb4bbbfff233db23957f49ba91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indianaof Indiana, UCLA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $441,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $447,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bf9…6927backed UCLA | 46c | 34,006$15,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,642.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81b…a52bbacked UCLA | 46c | 33,683$15,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,494.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1922…3f90backed Indiana | 54c | 25,935$14,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,930.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Indiana | 54c | 23,710$12,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,906.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b3…c419backed UCLA | 46c | 23,574$10,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,844.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5671…6e56backed Indiana | 54c | 22,105$11,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,168.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe509…96adbacked UCLA | 46c | 19,766$9,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,092.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c45…92adbacked UCLA | 46c | 18,788$8,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,642.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…afacbacked Indiana | 54c | 18,457$9,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,490.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…1e67backed Indiana | 54c | 18,436$9,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,480.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590f…5b28backed Indiana | 54c | 16,549$8,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,612.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…b6ffbacked Indiana | 54c | 15,333$8,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,053.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…809abacked Indiana | 54c | 13,584$7,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,248.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c7…8299backed UCLA | 46c | 12,773$5,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked UCLA | 49c | 12,751$6,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,237.5 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…ea2fbacked UCLA | 46c | 11,191$5,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,147.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…5f51backed UCLA | 46c | 10,585$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b5…b3b2backed UCLA | 46c | 9,384$4,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c5…d305backed UCLA | 46c | 9,361$4,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,306.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…26b3backed Indiana | 54c | 8,968$4,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b6…4c57backed UCLA | 46c | 7,808$3,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094b…c415backed Indiana | 54c | 7,550$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…5b77backed UCLA | 46c | 6,597$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…2923backed Indiana | 54c | 6,217$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Indiana | 56c | 6,024$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.56 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Indiana | 52c | 5,980$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.39 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…4e5abacked Indiana | 54c | 5,157$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked UCLA | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8139…9ee6backed Indiana | 54c | 4,850$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…3ff1backed Indiana | 54c | 4,784$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291f…6cf3backed Indiana | 54c | 4,612$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d6…cfe7backed Indiana | 54c | 3,930$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Indiana | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked UCLA | 48c | 3,295$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.6 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbb…56d1backed UCLA | 46c | 3,289$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Indiana | 53c | 3,185$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.08 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…5939backed Indiana | 54c | 3,062$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…4e09backed UCLA | 46c | 2,689$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed UCLA | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…f826backed UCLA | 46c | 1,971$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Indiana | 52c | 1,950$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…012ebacked Indiana | 54c | 1,911$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc410…be3bbacked UCLA | 46c | 1,868$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…7f66backed UCLA | 46c | 1,641$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…a99ebacked Indiana | 54c | 1,437$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…c869backed UCLA | 46c | 1,337$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5af…7683backed Indiana | 54c | 1,109$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…ea16backed Indiana | 54c | 1,069$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff5…40a2backed Indiana | 54c | 943$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…08d1backed UCLA | 46c | 915$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Indiana | 52c | 791.64$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.81 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…48a9backed Indiana | 54c | 699$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Indiana | 2c | 591$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.18 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana | 54c | 541.09$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90c…acf0backed Indiana | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed UCLA | 48c | 412.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…814fbacked Indiana | 50c | 352.45$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.23 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74de…db8abacked Indiana | 54c | 313$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked UCLA | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Indiana | 50c | 258.72$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Indiana | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Indiana | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked UCLA | 42c | 93.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Indiana | 51c | 81.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed UCLA | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…8c92backed UCLA | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Indiana | 50c | 51.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Indiana | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Indiana | 55c | 45.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked UCLA | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…2639backed Indiana | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…92bbbacked UCLA | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana (-24.5)this page
- O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana (-25.5)Indiana won
- Spread: Indiana (-26.5)Indiana won
- UCLA vs. IndianaIndiana won
- UCLA vs. Indiana: O/U 53.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.