Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Anderlecht beat Slavia Praha?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08614d5bbbb747d1685cf73cdb76889bbbbb861d51f06a2c11da89a13bc72372
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7705…a627backed No | 63c | 13,211$8,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,322.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79ed…21abbacked Yes | 37c | 12,471$4,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,856.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 3,099$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.66 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 37c | 1,255$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.85 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 77c | 1,102$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.71 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Yes | 13c | 945.08$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…5febbacked No | 50c | 830$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 39c | 469.75$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.67 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…7840backed Yes | 15c | 418.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…3312backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 15c | 343.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.9 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 15c | 307.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c4…6b1abacked Yes | 70c | 226.56$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd7…547dbacked Yes | 62c | 187.89$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 55c | 181.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…db66backed Yes | 50c | 179.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 37c | 175.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 29c | 138.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 51c | 136.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…15d7backed Yes | 68c | 97.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c9…2663backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…857ebacked Yes | 58c | 88.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Yes | 15c | 74.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…05dfbacked Yes | 15c | 69.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 22c | 64.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…87c5backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…23a5backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 51c | 47.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 55c | 45.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 62c | 36.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes | 68c | 31.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anderlecht beat Slavia Praha?this page
- Will Slavia Praha beat Anderlecht?No won
- Will the match between Slavia Praha and Anderlecht end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.