NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b8988a457fcc4fbc870c3ee177022336310ce8615081dba10551b99871f3524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Lakers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ef0…20cbbacked Lakers | 8c | 12,554$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.21 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Lakers | 0c | 10,395$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…09ccbacked Lakers | 24c | 10,012$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…1e18backed Timberwolves | 76c | 10,009$7,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Lakers | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…9313backed Lakers | 24c | 9,997$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…a7fcbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 9,997$7,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Lakers | 6c | 9,376$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.77 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Timberwolves | 80c | 9,216$7,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.65 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 20c | 8,552$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.5 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed Lakers | 24c | 8,494$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 10c | 8,324$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.13 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Timberwolves | 78c | 7,718$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.79 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Lakers | 7c | 7,075$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.48 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed Timberwolves | 75c | 5,783$4,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…2c31backed Lakers | 19c | 3,511$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Lakers | 5c | 3,291$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…9384backed Timberwolves | 78c | 3,001$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…5d29backed Lakers | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 2,857$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ae…afc4backed Lakers | 25c | 2,677$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ea2fbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 2,402$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lakers | 2c | 2,390$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lakers | 11c | 1,985$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.19 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lakers | 23c | 1,940$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.91 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Lakers | 25c | 1,865$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.81 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Timberwolves | 78c | 1,839$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.59 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abd…c9b7backed Lakers | 25c | 1,724$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…87c5backed Timberwolves | 76c | 1,701$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…3e8dbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 1,613$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Lakers | 24c | 1,556$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Timberwolves | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Lakers | 9c | 1,363$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…7352backed Lakers | 5c | 1,346$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers | 22c | 1,300$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa72…1285backed Lakers | 24c | 1,300$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Lakers | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…f0c9backed Timberwolves | 77c | 1,199$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.84 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 37cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…f83abacked Lakers | 23c | 1,195$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…7790backed Lakers | 25c | 1,152$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.11 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Timberwolves | 76c | 1,152$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.76 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Timberwolves | 76c | 1,050$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.44 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Lakers | 24c | 1,023$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lakers | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…5febbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 999.99$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.82 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Lakers | 23c | 999.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…1090backed Lakers | 23c | 999.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…bb9abacked Timberwolves | 78c | 961.6$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Lakers | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…d683backed Timberwolves | 76c | 871.41$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…bf2ebacked Lakers | 23c | 869.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Lakers | 18c | 841$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 754.99$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 747.21$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.29 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 674.98$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Lakers | 14c | 670$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 664.32$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.72 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Timberwolves | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…5bb2backed Lakers | 4c | 644.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +171.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Lakers | 6c | 631.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Timberwolves | 76c | 620$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Lakers | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26af…a178backed Lakers | 7c | 595$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Lakers | 14c | 563.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Lakers | 25c | 562.44$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Lakers | 18c | 558.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Lakers | 19c | 549.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Lakers | 23c | 528$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f83…d3dabacked Timberwolves | 78c | 520.64$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Lakers | 23c | 504.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 78c | 500$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad61…a2fbbacked Lakers | 23c | 499.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 69c | 486.61$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…4da9backed Timberwolves | 77c | 476.27$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Lakers | 4c | 463.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Lakers | 24c | 414.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Lakers | 24c | 414.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Lakers | 19c | 413.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Timberwolves | 78c | 413.16$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…ec22backed Lakers | 3c | 411.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Timberwolves | 77c | 389.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Timberwolves | 77c | 381.16$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Lakers | 23c | 350$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Timberwolves | 77c | 333.78$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Lakers | 14c | 331.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9e96backed Timberwolves | 77c | 324.63$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…46d2backed Lakers | 25c | 324$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Timberwolves | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19dd…2cffbacked Lakers | 6c | 310.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers | 25c | 303.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…9e9fbacked Lakers | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…e36dbacked Lakers | 9c | 277.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…646dbacked Lakers | 9c | 266.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…3019backed Lakers | 13c | 265.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Timberwolves | 77c | 262.34$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…b921backed Timberwolves | 78c | 255.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Timberwolves | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.