NFL · resolved market
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3f73328d05ac2245099d2a185b1c776e9db617c94677956ecb4370d3a7fb7c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof 49ers, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $591,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $842,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $591,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked 49ers | 46c | 250,000$115,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,999.98 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Browns | 54c | 147,614$79,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,711.35 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed 49ers | 45c | 57,275$25,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,558.67 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Browns | 54c | 55,787$30,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,124.86 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Browns | 55c | 46,744$25,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,706.98 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Browns | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Browns | 55c | 8,200$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Browns | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Browns | 56c | 4,444$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.63 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 49ers | 44c | 3,997$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.33 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed 49ers | 45c | 3,020$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.18 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Browns | 56c | 2,750$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Browns | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Browns | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked Browns | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 49ers | 44c | 1,931$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.6 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed 49ers | 61c | 1,590$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.1 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Browns | 54c | 1,574$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.02 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed 49ers | 45c | 1,334$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.53 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Browns | 55c | 1,173$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked 49ers | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…565dbacked 49ers | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…c0d6backed Browns | 57c | 1,080$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631e…f0acbacked Browns | 56c | 1,050$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked 49ers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Browns | 54c | 926$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 49ers | 42c | 842$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.28 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Browns | 60c | 827.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed 49ers | 45c | 622.22$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.22 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked 49ers | 45c | 577.78$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.78 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed 49ers | 61c | 530$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Browns | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed 49ers | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked 49ers | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed 49ers | 39c | 444$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked 49ers | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Browns | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Browns | 54c | 326.08$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.08 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Browns | 57c | 315.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Browns | 55c | 300.15$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.69 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed 49ers | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…57dbbacked 49ers | 45c | 286.67$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed 49ers | 48c | 262.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Browns | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Browns | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -12.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked Browns | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 49ers | 51c | 248.17$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.18 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Browns | 56c | 246.43$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3a…9806backed 49ers | 46c | 245.65$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked 49ers | 45c | 222.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Browns | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked 49ers | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…4367backed 49ers | 46c | 193.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed 49ers | 44c | 193.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…16d4backed Browns | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Browns | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Browns | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Browns | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…f7e0backed Browns | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Browns | 52c | 162.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Browns | 54c | 152.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db6…43b2backed 49ers | 47c | 151.19$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed 49ers | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…63b2backed Browns | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Browns | 56c | 139.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Browns | 54c | 137.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Browns | 56c | 126$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Browns | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Browns | 54c | 117.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…fc05backed Browns | 56c | 107$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Browns | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed 49ers | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Browns | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed 49ers | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Browns | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Browns | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…40b4backed Browns | 54c | 89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…dcbcbacked Browns | 54c | 89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Browns | 52c | 88.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Browns | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Browns | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed 49ers | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed 49ers | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Browns | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Browns | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be2…e1eebacked 49ers | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…a2e8backed 49ers | 45c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Browns | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3415…034cbacked 49ers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Browns | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed 49ers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…c61bbacked Browns | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…7975backed Browns | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Browns | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…5955backed Browns | 57c | 35.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Browns | 42c | 29.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 49ers | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…630abacked Browns | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 49ers (-6.5)this page
- 49ers vs. Browns49ers won
- 49ers vs. Browns: 1H Moneyline49ers won
- 49ers vs. Browns: O/U 34.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Browns: O/U 35.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Browns: O/U 36.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Browns: O/U 39.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Browns: O/U 40.5Under won
- Spread: 49ers (-4.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-5.5)49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.